Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 20/09, 16:30
Prediction: Mjällby AIF vs GAIS
Team pages: Mjällby AIF · GAIS
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.41Total
Mjällby AIF1.16
GAIS1.25
1X2
Mjällby AIF
Draw
GAIS
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Mjällby AIF
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
GAIS
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mjällby AIF
2–3–1
GAIS
(6 last)
- GAIS0-0Mjällby AIF
- Mjällby AIF3-0GAIS
- GAIS0-2Mjällby AIF
- Mjällby AIF1-1GAIS
- Mjällby AIF1-1GAIS
- GAIS2-1Mjällby AIF
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mjällby AIF 1422 · GAIS 1501
| Mjällby AIF | Draw | GAIS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 30% | 37% |
| Market | 35% | 26% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GAIS (rating 1422 vs 1501).
- H2H favours Mjällby AIF: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mjällby AIF | GAIS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 4.5 | 2.9 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mjällby AIF 2–3–1 GAIS
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/26 Sweden Allsvenskan | GAIS | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Mjällby AIF |
| 22/03/26 Sweden Cup | Mjällby AIF | 3-0 HT 2-0 | GAIS |
| 25/08/25 Sweden Allsvenskan | GAIS | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Mjällby AIF |
| 06/04/25 Sweden Allsvenskan | Mjällby AIF | 1-1 HT 0-0 | GAIS |
| 26/10/24 Sweden Allsvenskan | Mjällby AIF | 1-1 HT 0-0 | GAIS |
| 21/04/24 Sweden Allsvenskan | GAIS | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Mjällby AIF |
Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 50 | 27 | 48 |
| 2 | Djurgarden | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 46 | 19 | 41 |
| 3 | Hammarby | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 48 | 20 | 40 |
| 4 | Elfsborg | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 34 |
| 5 | Malmo FF | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 37 | 31 | 33 |
| 6 | BK Hacken | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 33 |
| 7 | AIK | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 32 | 33 |
| 8 | Vasteras SK | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 35 | 32 |
| 9 | IFK Goteborg | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 41 | 29 |
| 10 | GAIS | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 20 | 27 |
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 35 | 27 |
| 12 | Mjällby AIF | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 35 | 22 |
| 13 | Kalmar FF | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 31 | 19 |
| 14 | Degerfors | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 33 | 19 |
| 15 | Orgryte IS | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 24 | 47 | 15 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 39 | 11 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mjällby AIF | GAIS |
|---|---|---|
| AIK | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| BK Hacken | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Djurgarden | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Elfsborg | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mjällby AIF
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | AIK Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 11/09 | BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 07/09 | IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/09 | Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-3 | 4-3 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 17/07 | Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 11/07 | AIK Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
GAIS
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 31/08 | Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 09/08 | Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 26/07 | Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 18/07 | AIK Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 12/07 | Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 06/07 | Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mjällby AIF vs GAIS?
According to our model, the most likely result is an GAIS win (38%). Probabilities: Mjällby AIF 34%, draw 28%, GAIS 38%.
How many goals are expected in Mjällby AIF vs GAIS?
The model expects 2.41 goals (Mjällby AIF 1.16 · GAIS 1.25), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Mjällby AIF vs GAIS?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.