Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 19/09, 15:00

Prediction: Vasteras SK vs Malmo FF

Team pages: Vasteras SK · Malmo FF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

Vasteras SK1.65

Malmo FF1.11

1X2

49% 27% 24%

Vasteras SK Draw Malmo FF

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Vasteras SK 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDWLWLDWLW

Malmo FF 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWDLWLWLWD

Head-to-head

Vasteras SK 2–1–2 Malmo FF (5 last)

Malmo FF2-3Vasteras SK
Malmo FF3-0Vasteras SK
Vasteras SK1-1Malmo FF
Malmo FF1-0Vasteras SK
Malmo FF1-2Vasteras SK

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vasteras SK	Malmo FF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.2	1.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.2	2.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:07

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.09 → 3.13▲	Pinn 3.13
X	3.67 → 3.70▲	Pinn 3.70
2	2.12 → 2.13▲	Pinn 2.13

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.9%

Time*	1	X	2
16:43 +6’	3.09	3.67	2.12
17:42 +85’	3.13▲	3.70▲	2.13▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vasteras SK 2–1–2 Malmo FF

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Sweden Allsvenskan	Malmo FF	2-3 HT 1-2	Vasteras SK
02/03/25 Sweden Cup	Malmo FF	3-0 HT 0-0	Vasteras SK
19/10/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	Vasteras SK	1-1 HT 0-1	Malmo FF
20/04/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	Malmo FF	1-0 HT 0-0	Vasteras SK
21/02/21 Sweden Cup	Malmo FF	1-2 HT 0-1	Vasteras SK

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	20	14	3	3	48	27	45
2	Djurgarden	20	12	2	6	44	19	38
3	Hammarby	20	11	4	5	45	19	37
4	BK Hacken	21	8	9	4	34	30	33
5	AIK	20	9	5	6	29	31	32
6	Vasteras SK	21	9	5	7	32	35	32
7	Elfsborg	20	8	7	5	28	21	31
8	Malmo FF	20	9	3	8	33	30	30
9	IFK Goteborg	21	8	5	8	30	41	29
10	GAIS	20	7	6	7	25	18	27
11	Brommapojkarna	20	7	6	7	29	32	27
12	Mjällby AIF	20	5	6	9	26	34	21
13	Kalmar FF	20	5	4	11	21	30	19
14	Degerfors	20	5	4	11	19	31	19
15	Orgryte IS	20	3	6	11	23	43	15
16	Halmstad	21	2	5	14	14	39	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vasteras SK	Malmo FF
AIK	4-1 W	0-0 D
Sirius	0-1 L	1-0 W
Kalmar FF	0-0 D	2-2 D
Elfsborg	0-3 L	1-2 L
Djurgarden	1-0 W	0-3 L
Degerfors	2-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Vasteras SK (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vasteras SK

WDWLWLDWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	4-1	3	1	W
05/09	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-1	8	2	L
29/08	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	2-0	3-1	3	4	W
23/08	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
14/08	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-3	2	4	L
10/08	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
03/08	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	0-3	0-6	1	3	L
24/07	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-0	2	1	W
17/07	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
12/07	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-0	1	8	W

Malmo FF

WWDLWLWLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/09	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
31/08	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
24/08	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-3	3	6	L
16/08	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
09/08	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-2	5	4	L
02/08	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-1	3	7	W
26/07	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	1-2	5	6	L
20/07	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	2-2	5	3	D
12/07	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	3-0	4-0	7	3	W
04/07	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vasteras SK vs Malmo FF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vasteras SK win (49%). Probabilities: Vasteras SK 49%, draw 27%, Malmo FF 24%.

How many goals are expected in Vasteras SK vs Malmo FF?

The model expects 2.75 goals (Vasteras SK 1.65 · Malmo FF 1.11), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Vasteras SK vs Malmo FF?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.