Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 20/09, 14:00

Prediction: Halmstad vs AIK

Team pages: Halmstad · AIK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.6Total

Halmstad1.12

AIK1.48

1X2

28% 27% 45%

Halmstad Draw AIK

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Halmstad 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLDLLLDWLL

AIK 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWDLWWWDL

Head-to-head

Halmstad 2–1–3 AIK (6 last)

AIK2-1Halmstad
AIK0-2Halmstad
Halmstad2-0AIK
AIK5-1Halmstad
Halmstad1-2AIK
AIK1-1Halmstad

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Halmstad 1448 · AIK 1555

	Halmstad	Draw	AIK
Our model	27%	28%	44%
Market	28%	26%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AIK (rating 1448 vs 1555).
H2H favours AIK: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Halmstad	AIK
Goals for / against (FT)	0.4 / 1.6	1.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.9	1.3 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.25

X3.50

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:41 +2’	3.25	3.50	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Halmstad 2–1–3 AIK

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Sweden Allsvenskan	AIK	2-1 HT 1-0	Halmstad
09/11/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	AIK	0-2 HT 0-1	Halmstad
06/07/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	Halmstad	2-0 HT 2-0	AIK
10/11/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	AIK	5-1 HT 3-1	Halmstad
15/07/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	Halmstad	1-2 HT 0-1	AIK
29/10/23 Sweden Allsvenskan	AIK	1-1 HT 0-1	Halmstad

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	21	15	3	3	50	27	48
2	Djurgarden	21	13	2	6	46	19	41
3	Hammarby	21	12	4	5	48	20	40
4	Elfsborg	21	9	7	5	29	21	34
5	Malmo FF	21	10	3	8	37	31	33
6	BK Hacken	21	8	9	4	34	30	33
7	AIK	20	9	5	6	29	31	32
8	Vasteras SK	21	9	5	7	32	35	32
9	IFK Goteborg	21	8	5	8	30	41	29
10	GAIS	21	7	6	8	25	20	27
11	Brommapojkarna	21	7	6	8	30	35	27
12	Mjällby AIF	20	5	6	9	26	34	21
13	Kalmar FF	21	5	4	12	21	31	19
14	Degerfors	21	5	4	12	19	33	19
15	Orgryte IS	21	3	6	12	24	47	15
16	Halmstad	21	2	5	14	14	39	11

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Halmstad	AIK
IFK Goteborg	1-2 L	2-1 W
Orgryte IS	1-1 D	4-3 W
BK Hacken	0-1 L	0-0 D
GAIS	0-2 L	2-0 W
Djurgarden	0-3 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 4 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: AIK (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Halmstad

LLDLLLDWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-2	9	4	L
05/09	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
29/08	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	8	3	W
22/08	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	10	2	D
17/08	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-1	1	5	L
09/08	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-2	7	1	L
03/08	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-2	2	1	L
26/07	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
19/07	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-2	7	2	L
13/07	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-3	7	1	L

AIK

WWWDLWWWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-4	5	1	L
07/09	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
30/08	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	3-2	1	5	W
16/08	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	3-0	3-1	1	6	W
08/08	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	4-3	4	3	W
02/08	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-3	5	3	L
27/07	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
18/07	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-0	4	2	W
11/07	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-1	2	4	W
05/07	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	2-1	7	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Halmstad vs AIK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an AIK win (45%). Probabilities: Halmstad 28%, draw 27%, AIK 45%.

How many goals are expected in Halmstad vs AIK?

The model expects 2.6 goals (Halmstad 1.12 · AIK 1.48), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Halmstad vs AIK?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.