Prediction: Degerfors vs Hammarby
Team pages: Degerfors · Hammarby
- Hammarby4-0Degerfors
- Degerfors1-1Hammarby
- Hammarby1-0Degerfors
- Degerfors2-2Hammarby
- Hammarby3-1Degerfors
- Hammarby5-1Degerfors
| Degerfors | Draw | Hammarby | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 11% | 22% | 67% |
| Market | 13% | 18% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hammarby (rating 1480 vs 1565).
- H2H favours Hammarby: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 13.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Degerfors | Hammarby | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.5 | 2.4 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 1.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 70/30/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.2 | 5.1 / 8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 1.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Degerfors 0–2–4 Hammarby
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/26 Sweden Allsvenskan | Hammarby | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Degerfors |
| 03/11/25 Sweden Allsvenskan | Degerfors | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Hammarby |
| 26/05/25 Sweden Allsvenskan | Hammarby | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Degerfors |
| 25/05/23 Sweden Allsvenskan | Degerfors | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Hammarby |
| 02/04/23 Sweden Allsvenskan | Hammarby | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Degerfors |
| 22/08/22 Sweden Allsvenskan | Hammarby | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Degerfors |
Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 50 | 27 | 48 |
| 2 | Djurgarden | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 46 | 19 | 41 |
| 3 | Hammarby | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 48 | 20 | 40 |
| 4 | Elfsborg | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 34 |
| 5 | Malmo FF | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 37 | 31 | 33 |
| 6 | BK Hacken | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 33 |
| 7 | AIK | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 32 | 33 |
| 8 | Vasteras SK | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 35 | 32 |
| 9 | IFK Goteborg | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 41 | 29 |
| 10 | GAIS | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 20 | 27 |
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 35 | 27 |
| 12 | Mjällby AIF | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 35 | 22 |
| 13 | Kalmar FF | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 31 | 19 |
| 14 | Degerfors | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 33 | 19 |
| 15 | Orgryte IS | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 24 | 47 | 15 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 39 | 11 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Degerfors | Hammarby |
|---|---|---|
| Elfsborg | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Brommapojkarna | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Hammarby (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Degerfors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 19/07 | Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 12/07 | Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 04/07 | Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
Hammarby
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 30/08 | AIK Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 19/07 | Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 12/07 | Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 05/07 | Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Degerfors vs Hammarby?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hammarby win (68%). Probabilities: Degerfors 12%, draw 19%, Hammarby 68%.
How many goals are expected in Degerfors vs Hammarby?
The model expects 2.75 goals (Degerfors 0.72 · Hammarby 2.03), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Degerfors vs Hammarby?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.