Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 09/08, 14:00

Prediction: Hammarby vs BK Hacken

Team pages: Hammarby · BK Hacken

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.57Total
Hammarby2.32
BK Hacken1.25
1X2
60% 21% 19%
Hammarby Draw BK Hacken
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Hammarby 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LLLWWWWDDL
BK Hacken 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WWDWLLLWDD
Head-to-head
Hammarby 3–1–2 BK Hacken (6 last)
  • BK Hacken1-4Hammarby
  • BK Hacken3-2Hammarby
  • Hammarby4-0BK Hacken
  • BK Hacken1-1Hammarby
  • Hammarby2-0BK Hacken
  • BK Hacken2-1Hammarby
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hammarby 1538 · BK Hacken 1489
HammarbyDrawBK Hacken
Our model60%21%19%
Market60%21%18%
Estimated total (ours) 3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hammarby (rating 1538 vs 1489).
  • H2H favours Hammarby: 3-1-2.
  • High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

HammarbyBK Hacken
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.41.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.30.9 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 5.63.1 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 0.23.2 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hammarby 312 BK Hacken

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/06/26
Club Friendly List
BK Hacken1-4
HT 1-3
Hammarby
31/05/26
Sweden Allsvenskan
BK Hacken3-2
HT 0-2
Hammarby
21/09/25
Sweden Allsvenskan
Hammarby4-0
HT 0-0
BK Hacken
27/04/25
Sweden Allsvenskan
BK Hacken1-1
HT 0-0
Hammarby
26/09/24
Sweden Allsvenskan
Hammarby2-0
HT 1-0
BK Hacken
21/04/24
Sweden Allsvenskan
BK Hacken2-1
HT 0-1
Hammarby

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Sirius 141220 401738
2 Hammarby 15834 331527
3 BK Hacken 15672 282325
4 Djurgarden 13724 271523
5 Vasteras SK 14644 242322
6 AIK 14644 181822
7 Elfsborg 15564 201821
8 Malmo FF 14626 282420
9 GAIS 15555 191520
10 Kalmar FF 15537 192118
11 Mjällby AIF 14455 201917
12 Brommapojkarna 14455 192217
13 IFK Goteborg 14347 173313
14 Degerfors 14248 122410
15 Orgryte IS 14248 143310
16 Halmstad 14149 11297

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHammarbyBK Hacken
Kalmar FF 2-0 W 1-1 D
Elfsborg 2-1 W 1-1 D
AIK 1-2 L 0-0 D
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 1 L 0 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Hammarby (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hammarby

LLLWWWWDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/07 Anderlecht
UEFA Europa League Qualifying
1-0 1-3 05 L
26/07 Brommapojkarna
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 1-1 111 D
23/07 Anderlecht
UEFA Europa League Qualifying
0-1 1-1 55 D
19/07 Degerfors
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-0 4-0 61 W
12/07 Kalmar FF
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-0 2-0 52 W
05/07 Elfsborg
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 2-1 81 W
24/06 BK Hacken
Club Friendly List
3-1 4-1 50 W
31/05 BK Hacken
Sweden Allsvenskan
2-0 2-3 85 L
24/05 AIK
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 1-2 56 L
20/05 GAIS
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-1 0-2 34 L

BK Hacken

WWDWLLLWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Kalmar FF
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-1 1-1 53 D
27/07 AIK
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 0-0 53 D
19/07 Halmstad
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 2-0 32 W
11/07 Orgryte IS
Sweden Allsvenskan
2-1 3-4 84 L
06/07 Djurgarden
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-2 2-4 74 L
24/06 Hammarby
Club Friendly List
1-3 1-4 60 L
31/05 Hammarby
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-2 3-2 75 W
25/05 Elfsborg
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-0 1-1 64 D
17/05 Mjällby AIF
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 1-0 75 W
10/05 Malmo FF
Sweden Allsvenskan
3-2 3-2 44 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hammarby vs BK Hacken?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hammarby win (60%). Probabilities: Hammarby 60%, draw 21%, BK Hacken 19%.

How many goals are expected in Hammarby vs BK Hacken?

The model expects 3.57 goals (Hammarby 2.32 · BK Hacken 1.25), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Hammarby vs BK Hacken?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.