Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 08/08, 17:30

Prediction: Mjällby AIF vs Elfsborg

Team pages: Mjällby AIF · Elfsborg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

Mjällby AIF1.6

Elfsborg1.15

1X2

47% 27% 26%

Mjällby AIF Draw Elfsborg

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Mjällby AIF 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

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Elfsborg 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Mjällby AIF 2–3–1 Elfsborg (6 last)

Elfsborg1-1Mjällby AIF
Mjällby AIF2-0Elfsborg
Elfsborg0-1Mjällby AIF
Elfsborg2-2Mjällby AIF
Mjällby AIF1-1Elfsborg
Elfsborg3-1Mjällby AIF

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Mjällby AIF: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mjällby AIF	Elfsborg
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.8	1.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.8	1 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0	2.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.87

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:37

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.04▲	Pinn 2.04
X	3.46 → 3.45▼	Pinn 3.45
2	3.69 → 3.57▼	Pinn 3.57

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
01:24 +1’	2.00	3.46	3.69
11:37	2.04▲	3.45▼	3.57▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Mjällby AIF 2–3–1 Elfsborg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/05/26 Sweden Allsvenskan	Elfsborg	1-1 HT 1-0	Mjällby AIF
04/10/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	Mjällby AIF	2-0 HT 1-0	Elfsborg
19/06/25 Club Friendly List	Elfsborg	0-1 HT 0-0	Mjällby AIF
30/03/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	Elfsborg	2-2 HT 0-2	Mjällby AIF
18/08/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	Mjällby AIF	1-1 HT 1-1	Elfsborg
21/07/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	Elfsborg	3-1 HT 2-1	Mjällby AIF

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	14	12	2	0	40	17	38
2	Hammarby	15	8	3	4	33	15	27
3	BK Hacken	15	6	7	2	28	23	25
4	Djurgarden	13	7	2	4	27	15	23
5	Vasteras SK	14	6	4	4	24	23	22
6	AIK	14	6	4	4	18	18	22
7	Elfsborg	15	5	6	4	20	18	21
8	Malmo FF	14	6	2	6	28	24	20
9	GAIS	15	5	5	5	19	15	20
10	Kalmar FF	15	5	3	7	19	21	18
11	Mjällby AIF	14	4	5	5	20	19	17
12	Brommapojkarna	14	4	5	5	19	22	17
13	IFK Goteborg	14	3	4	7	17	33	13
14	Degerfors	14	2	4	8	12	24	10
15	Orgryte IS	14	2	4	8	14	33	10
16	Halmstad	14	1	4	9	11	29	7

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mjällby AIF	Elfsborg
Sirius	4-4 D	1-3 L
Halmstad	3-3 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Mjällby AIF (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Mjällby AIF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/07	Lincoln Red Imps FC UEFA Champions League Qualifying	0-0	0-0	8	9	D
25/07	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-2	2	5	L
21/07	Lincoln Red Imps FC UEFA Champions League Qualifying	3-0	3-0	3	2	W
17/07	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	11	6	D
11/07	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-2	5	4	L
03/07	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	4-4	3	1	D
27/06	FC Copenhagen Europe Friendlies	2-3	3-5	4	2	L
24/06	Halmstad Club Friendly List	1-0	3-3	6	1	D
25/05	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-1	3	9	D
21/05	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-1	3	4	D

Elfsborg

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	2-1	2-1	3	6	W
19/07	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-3	6	5	L
12/07	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
05/07	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-2	3	1	L
28/06	Fredrikstad Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
29/05	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-2	2	3	D
25/05	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-1	1	4	D
21/05	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
16/05	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-1	8	1	D
08/05	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-0	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mjällby AIF vs Elfsborg?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mjällby AIF win (47%). Probabilities: Mjällby AIF 47%, draw 27%, Elfsborg 26%.

How many goals are expected in Mjällby AIF vs Elfsborg?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Mjällby AIF 1.6 · Elfsborg 1.15), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Mjällby AIF vs Elfsborg?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.