Football · Argentina Nacional B · 29/08, 22:00
Prediction: Ferrocarril Midland vs Nueva Chicago
Team pages: Ferrocarril Midland · Nueva Chicago
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.12Total
Ferrocarril Midland1.51
Nueva Chicago0.6
1X2
Ferrocarril Midland
Draw
Nueva Chicago
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Ferrocarril Midland
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Nueva Chicago
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ferrocarril Midland
0–1–0
Nueva Chicago
(1 last)
- Nueva Chicago2-2Ferrocarril Midland
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ferrocarril Midland (rating 1527 vs 1446).
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ferrocarril Midland | Nueva Chicago | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 3.8 | 2.1 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.3 | 4.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ferrocarril Midland 0–1–0 Nueva Chicago
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/26 Argentina Nacional B | Nueva Chicago | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Ferrocarril Midland |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 45 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 45 |
| 3 | CA Atlanta | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 31 | 25 | 42 |
| 4 | Club Atletico Temperley | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 40 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 17 | 38 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 25 | 38 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 33 | 27 | 35 |
| 8 | Atletico Rafaela | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 19 | 35 |
| 9 | Quilmes | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 21 | 32 |
| 10 | San Martin SJ | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26 | 24 | 32 |
| 11 | San Martin de Tucuman | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 24 | 22 | 32 |
| 12 | CA Colegiales | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 25 | 31 |
| 13 | Almagro | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 29 | 31 |
| 14 | Nueva Chicago | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 24 | 29 |
| 15 | Agropecuario | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 22 | 30 | 29 |
| 16 | Chacarita Juniors | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 26 | 27 |
| 17 | Patronato Parana | 25 | 4 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 29 | 25 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 40 | 21 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ferrocarril Midland | Nueva Chicago |
|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia Jujuy | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| CA Atlanta | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Gimnasia y Tiro | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| San Martin de Tucuman | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Ferrocarril Midland (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ferrocarril Midland
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 08/08 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 26/07 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 12/07 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/07 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 21/06 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 13/06 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
Nueva Chicago
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 17/08 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 09/08 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 25/07 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 17/07 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/07 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 04/07 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/06 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 17/06 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ferrocarril Midland vs Nueva Chicago?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ferrocarril Midland win (58%). Probabilities: Ferrocarril Midland 58%, draw 28%, Nueva Chicago 14%.
How many goals are expected in Ferrocarril Midland vs Nueva Chicago?
The model expects 2.12 goals (Ferrocarril Midland 1.51 · Nueva Chicago 0.6), with a 55% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ferrocarril Midland vs Nueva Chicago?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.