Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 11/07, 17:30

Prediction: Orgryte IS vs BK Hacken

Expected goals: 3.56 (Orgryte IS 1.18 · BK Hacken 2.38). The model gives 16% home, 21% draw, 63% away. Over 3.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-2.

On recent form, Orgryte IS is 1-2-7 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and BK Hacken 5-4-1 over its own. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for Orgryte IS and 0 for BK Hacken, with 1 draw.

63%2
16% 21% 63%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Orgryte IS 1420 · BK Hacken 1524
Orgryte ISDrawBK Hacken
Our model17%20%63%
Market16%21%63%
Estimated total (ours) 3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.56Orgryte IS 1.18 · BK Hacken 2.38
Over / Under 3.25Over 3.25 · 51%
BTTSYes · 57%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BK Hacken (rating 1420 vs 1524).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Orgryte ISBK Hacken
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 2.71.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 1.21 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/10/80%50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 4.12.8 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 04.3 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Orgryte IS 010 BK Hacken

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/06/22
Club Friendly List
Orgryte IS2-2
HT 2-1
BK Hacken

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Sirius 11920 311429
2 BK Hacken 10550 201420
3 Elfsborg 11461 161118
4 Hammarby 11524 241317
5 Mjällby AIF 11443 181516
6 Malmo FF 11515 212016
7 GAIS 11434 161115
8 Brommapojkarna 10433 151615
9 Vasteras SK 11434 202315
10 Djurgarden 9414 191313
11 AIK 10334 121612
12 Kalmar FF 10316 111510
13 Degerfors 11245 121710
14 IFK Goteborg 10244 132210
15 Halmstad 11137 10236
16 Orgryte IS 10136 10256

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentOrgryte ISBK Hacken
Elfsborg 2-2 D 1-1 D
IFK Goteborg 2-3 L 2-0 W
Sirius 0-2 L 2-2 D
GAIS 0-4 L 2-1 W
Degerfors 1-1 D 1-1 D
Hammarby 1-8 L 1-4 L
Mjällby AIF 2-0 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 4 L 3 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: BK Hacken (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Orgryte IS

WLLDLLLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Kalmar FF
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-1 0-3 41 L
29/05 Elfsborg
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-1 2-2 43 D
23/05 Halmstad
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-1 0-2 55 L
19/05 IFK Goteborg
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-2 2-3 65 L
11/05 Sirius
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-1 0-2 41 L
03/05 GAIS
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-1 0-4 21 L
27/04 Degerfors
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 1-1 55 D
22/04 Brommapojkarna
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-1 1-2 23 L
18/04 Hammarby
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-4 1-8 61 L
11/04 Mjällby AIF
Sweden Allsvenskan
2-0 2-0 34 W

BK Hacken

WWDDDWWDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/06 Hammarby
Club Friendly List
1-3 1-4 60 L
31/05 Hammarby
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-2 3-2 75 W
25/05 Elfsborg
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-0 1-1 64 D
17/05 Mjällby AIF
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 1-0 75 W
10/05 Malmo FF
Sweden Allsvenskan
3-2 3-2 44 W
02/05 Degerfors
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-0 1-1 53 D
27/04 Sirius
Sweden Allsvenskan
2-1 2-2 31 D
22/04 Vasteras SK
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-2 3-3 94 D
19/04 GAIS
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 2-1 59 W
11/04 IFK Goteborg
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-0 2-0 310 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Orgryte IS vs BK Hacken?

According to our model, the most likely result is an BK Hacken win (63%). Probabilities: Orgryte IS 16%, draw 21%, BK Hacken 63%.

How many goals are expected in Orgryte IS vs BK Hacken?

The model expects 3.56 goals (Orgryte IS 1.18 · BK Hacken 2.38), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Orgryte IS vs BK Hacken?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.