Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 11/09, 19:00

Prediction: BK Hacken vs Mjällby AIF

Team pages: BK Hacken · Mjällby AIF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.72Total

BK Hacken1.72

Mjällby AIF1

1X2

54% 25% 21%

BK Hacken Draw Mjällby AIF

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

BK Hacken 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDDLWWLD

Mjällby AIF 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DDDLDLLWLL

Head-to-head

BK Hacken 2–1–3 Mjällby AIF (6 last)

Mjällby AIF0-1BK Hacken
BK Hacken2-2Mjällby AIF
Mjällby AIF1-0BK Hacken
BK Hacken0-3Mjällby AIF
Mjällby AIF0-1BK Hacken
Mjällby AIF2-1BK Hacken

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BK Hacken 1515 · Mjällby AIF 1423

	BK Hacken	Draw	Mjällby AIF
Our model	53%	26%	21%
Market	54%	24%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BK Hacken (rating 1515 vs 1423).
H2H favours Mjällby AIF: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	BK Hacken	Mjällby AIF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.5	1.2 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.8	1.4 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.2	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.90

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.3%

Time*	1	X	2
10:03 +8’	1.70	3.90	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · BK Hacken 2–1–3 Mjällby AIF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Sweden Allsvenskan	Mjällby AIF	0-1 HT 0-0	BK Hacken
27/03/26 Club Friendly List	BK Hacken	2-2 HT 0-2	Mjällby AIF
09/11/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	Mjällby AIF	1-0 HT 0-0	BK Hacken
12/04/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	BK Hacken	0-3 HT 0-1	Mjällby AIF
08/03/25 Sweden Cup	Mjällby AIF	0-1 HT 0-0	BK Hacken
29/05/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	Mjällby AIF	2-1 HT 1-0	BK Hacken

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	20	14	3	3	48	27	45
2	Hammarby	20	11	4	5	45	19	37
3	Djurgarden	19	11	2	6	43	19	35
4	BK Hacken	20	8	8	4	33	29	32
5	Elfsborg	20	8	7	5	28	21	31
6	AIK	18	9	4	5	28	27	31
7	Malmo FF	19	9	2	8	33	30	29
8	Vasteras SK	20	8	5	7	28	34	29
9	GAIS	20	7	6	7	25	18	27
10	Brommapojkarna	20	7	6	7	29	32	27
11	IFK Goteborg	19	6	5	8	24	39	23
12	Mjällby AIF	18	5	5	8	24	29	20
13	Kalmar FF	19	5	4	10	21	29	19
14	Degerfors	20	5	4	11	19	31	19
15	Orgryte IS	20	3	6	11	23	43	15
16	Halmstad	20	2	5	13	13	37	11

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BK Hacken	Mjällby AIF
Vasteras SK	1-3 L	0-0 D
Sirius	3-0 W	4-3 W
Kalmar FF	1-1 D	1-2 L
AIK	0-0 D	1-2 L
Djurgarden	2-4 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: BK Hacken (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BK Hacken

LLWDDLWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
29/08	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	1-3	5	4	L
21/08	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	3-0	7	3	W
17/08	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-0	11	5	W
09/08	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-3	2	2	L
01/08	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
27/07	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
19/07	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-0	3	2	W
11/07	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	2-1	3-4	8	4	L
06/07	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	2-4	7	4	L

Mjällby AIF

DDDLDLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/09	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-2	0	4	L
31/08	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	0-3	0-4	1	1	L
15/08	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	0-3	4-3	7	5	W
08/08	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-1	2	1	L
25/07	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-2	2	5	L
17/07	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	11	6	D
11/07	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-2	5	4	L
03/07	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	4-4	3	1	D
25/05	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-1	3	9	D
21/05	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-1	3	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BK Hacken vs Mjällby AIF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a BK Hacken win (54%). Probabilities: BK Hacken 54%, draw 25%, Mjällby AIF 21%.

How many goals are expected in BK Hacken vs Mjällby AIF?

The model expects 2.72 goals (BK Hacken 1.72 · Mjällby AIF 1), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in BK Hacken vs Mjällby AIF?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.