Football · Argentina Nacional B · 12/09, 22:00
Prediction: Gimnasia Jujuy vs Atletico Rafaela
Team pages: Gimnasia Jujuy · Atletico Rafaela
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.1Total
Gimnasia Jujuy1.39
Atletico Rafaela0.71
1X2
Gimnasia Jujuy
Draw
Atletico Rafaela
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Gimnasia Jujuy
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Atletico Rafaela
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gimnasia Jujuy
2–1–3
Atletico Rafaela
(6 last)
- Atletico Rafaela0-0Gimnasia Jujuy
- Atletico Rafaela1-0Gimnasia Jujuy
- Gimnasia Jujuy1-0Atletico Rafaela
- Atletico Rafaela3-0Gimnasia Jujuy
- Atletico Rafaela2-0Gimnasia Jujuy
- Gimnasia Jujuy1-0Atletico Rafaela
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gimnasia Jujuy 1518 · Atletico Rafaela 1489
| Gimnasia Jujuy | Draw | Atletico Rafaela | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 30% | 18% |
| Market | 52% | 29% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.1 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Atletico Rafaela: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gimnasia Jujuy | Atletico Rafaela | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 7 | 2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.4 | 4.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gimnasia Jujuy 2–1–3 Atletico Rafaela
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Argentina Nacional B | Atletico Rafaela | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gimnasia Jujuy |
| 23/07/23 Argentina Nacional B | Atletico Rafaela | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Gimnasia Jujuy |
| 18/03/23 Argentina Nacional B | Gimnasia Jujuy | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Rafaela |
| 06/03/22 Argentina Nacional B | Atletico Rafaela | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Gimnasia Jujuy |
| 02/10/21 Argentina Nacional B | Atletico Rafaela | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Gimnasia Jujuy |
| 10/06/21 Argentina Nacional B | Gimnasia Jujuy | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Atletico Rafaela |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 28 | 14 | 48 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Temperley | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 30 | 22 | 46 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 40 | 33 | 46 |
| 4 | CA Atlanta | 28 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 45 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 29 | 22 | 41 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 25 | 41 |
| 7 | Atletico Rafaela | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 39 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 34 | 28 | 38 |
| 9 | San Martin SJ | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 24 | 38 |
| 10 | CA Colegiales | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 25 | 37 |
| 11 | San Martin de Tucuman | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 27 | 26 | 36 |
| 12 | Almagro | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 22 | 29 | 34 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 23 | 32 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 31 | 30 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 27 | 29 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 27 | 5 | 13 | 9 | 23 | 30 | 28 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 30 | 27 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 41 | 23 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gimnasia Jujuy | Atletico Rafaela |
|---|---|---|
| Almagro | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Agropecuario | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Tristan Suarez | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| CA Guemes | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Chacarita Juniors | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Gimnasia Jujuy (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gimnasia Jujuy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 01/09 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | D |
| 22/08 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 16/08 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 10/08 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 11 | 1 | L |
| 06/08 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 26/07 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
Atletico Rafaela
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 24/08 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 18/07 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 11/07 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gimnasia Jujuy vs Atletico Rafaela?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gimnasia Jujuy win (52%). Probabilities: Gimnasia Jujuy 52%, draw 30%, Atletico Rafaela 18%.
How many goals are expected in Gimnasia Jujuy vs Atletico Rafaela?
The model expects 2.1 goals (Gimnasia Jujuy 1.39 · Atletico Rafaela 0.71), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Gimnasia Jujuy vs Atletico Rafaela?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.