Prediction: Arsenal de Sarandi vs Defensores Unidos
Expected goals: 2.2 (Arsenal de Sarandi 1.58 · Defensores Unidos 0.61). The model gives 60% home, 26% draw, 13% away. Over 2 goals (53%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-0.
Over its last 10 matches, Arsenal de Sarandi sits at 4-4-2 (W-D-L), while Defensores Unidos arrives on a 3-3-4 run. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, Arsenal de Sarandi won 0 and Defensores Unidos 0, with 1 draw.
| Arsenal de Sarandi | Draw | Defensores Unidos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 27% | 13% |
| Market | 61% | 26% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arsenal de Sarandi (rating 1527 vs 1479).
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 12.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Arsenal de Sarandi | Defensores Unidos | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.9 | 2.2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.6 / 0.6 | 5.5 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arsenal de Sarandi 0–1–0 Defensores Unidos
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Defensores Unidos | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Arsenal de Sarandi |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 15 | 45 |
| 2 | Talleres Remedios | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 10 | 45 |
| 3 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | Villa Dalmine | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 28 | 13 | 43 |
| 5 | Atletico Camioneros | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 41 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 35 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 24 | 34 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 27 | 32 |
| 9 | San Martin De Burzaco | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 31 |
| 10 | Club Comunicaciones | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 25 | 31 |
| 11 | Argentino Merlo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 21 | 31 |
| 12 | Deportivo Laferrere | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 29 | 31 |
| 13 | Deportivo Merlo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 35 | 31 |
| 14 | CS Dock Sud | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 27 |
| 15 | Argentino Quilmes | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 25 | 27 |
| 16 | Deportivo Liniers | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 23 | 26 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 24 | 24 |
| 18 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 27 | 23 |
| 19 | UAI Urquiza | 23 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 22 |
| 20 | CSD Flandria | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 22 |
| 21 | Villa San Carlos | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 24 | 30 | 21 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 41 | 9 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Arsenal de Sarandi | Defensores Unidos |
|---|---|---|
| Club Comunicaciones | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| CSD Flandria | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arsenal de Sarandi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 21/06 | Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
3-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 13/06 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 06/06 | Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 01/06 | San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 26/05 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 22/05 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 16/05 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
Defensores Unidos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 27/06 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 20/06 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 27/05 | Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 23/05 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 09/05 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arsenal de Sarandi vs Defensores Unidos?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Arsenal de Sarandi win (60%). Probabilities: Arsenal de Sarandi 60%, draw 26%, Defensores Unidos 13%.
How many goals are expected in Arsenal de Sarandi vs Defensores Unidos?
The model expects 2.2 goals (Arsenal de Sarandi 1.58 · Defensores Unidos 0.61), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Arsenal de Sarandi vs Defensores Unidos?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.