Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 14/07, 20:00
Prediction: Argentino Quilmes vs Arsenal de Sarandi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
Argentino Quilmes1
Arsenal de Sarandi1.29
1X2
Argentino Quilmes
Draw
Arsenal de Sarandi
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Argentino Quilmes
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Arsenal de Sarandi
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Argentino Quilmes
1–0
Arsenal de Sarandi
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Argentino Quilmes 1528 · Arsenal de Sarandi 1516
| Argentino Quilmes | Draw | Arsenal de Sarandi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 31% | 42% |
| Market | 27% | 31% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 12.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Argentino Quilmes | Arsenal de Sarandi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.5 | 3 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.5 | 6.5 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Argentino Quilmes 1–0–0 Arsenal de Sarandi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Arsenal de Sarandi | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Argentino Quilmes |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 24 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 18 | 47 |
| 2 | Villa Dalmine | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 14 | 46 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 11 | 46 |
| 4 | Excursionistas | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 17 | 45 |
| 5 | Atletico Camioneros | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 41 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 20 | 38 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 37 |
| 8 | Argentino Merlo | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 21 | 34 |
| 9 | Club Comunicaciones | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 34 |
| 10 | Deportivo Armenio | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 28 | 33 |
| 11 | San Martin De Burzaco | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 32 |
| 12 | Deportivo Laferrere | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26 | 30 | 32 |
| 13 | Deportivo Merlo | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 35 | 32 |
| 14 | CS Dock Sud | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 24 | 27 |
| 15 | Argentino Quilmes | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 28 | 27 |
| 16 | Deportivo Liniers | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 24 | 26 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 20 | 27 | 24 |
| 18 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 27 | 24 |
| 19 | UAI Urquiza | 24 | 3 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 23 |
| 20 | CSD Flandria | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 31 | 23 |
| 21 | Villa San Carlos | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 24 | 30 | 22 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 24 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 17 | 41 | 10 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Argentino Quilmes | Arsenal de Sarandi |
|---|---|---|
| CSD Flandria | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Defensores Unidos | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Club Comunicaciones | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Arsenal de Sarandi (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Argentino Quilmes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 05/07 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 28/06 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 06/06 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 01/06 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 11 | W |
| 27/05 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
Arsenal de Sarandi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 21/06 | Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
3-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 13/06 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 06/06 | Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 01/06 | San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 26/05 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 22/05 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 16/05 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Argentino Quilmes vs Arsenal de Sarandi?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Arsenal de Sarandi win (42%). Probabilities: Argentino Quilmes 27%, draw 31%, Arsenal de Sarandi 42%.
How many goals are expected in Argentino Quilmes vs Arsenal de Sarandi?
The model expects 2.29 goals (Argentino Quilmes 1 · Arsenal de Sarandi 1.29), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Argentino Quilmes vs Arsenal de Sarandi?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.