Football · Argentina Nacional B · 12/09, 22:00

Prediction: Ferrocarril Midland vs Chacarita Juniors

Team pages: Ferrocarril Midland · Chacarita Juniors

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.82Total

Ferrocarril Midland1.13

Chacarita Juniors0.69

1X2

46% 32% 22%

Ferrocarril Midland Draw Chacarita Juniors

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 56% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

Ferrocarril Midland 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWWDWDLWLL

Chacarita Juniors 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WDLWLLDLLL

Head-to-head

Ferrocarril Midland 0–1 Chacarita Juniors (1 last)

Chacarita Juniors1-0Ferrocarril Midland

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ferrocarril Midland 1501 · Chacarita Juniors 1455

	Ferrocarril Midland	Draw	Chacarita Juniors
Our model	45%	34%	21%
Market	46%	31%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 1.82 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ferrocarril Midland (rating 1501 vs 1455).
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ferrocarril Midland	Chacarita Juniors
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.1	0.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.1	2.6 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.2	4.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.00

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.02

2 (+0.5)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.77

Under 1.752.02

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
01:00 +22’	2.00	3.00	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ferrocarril Midland 0–0–1 Chacarita Juniors

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Argentina Nacional B	Chacarita Juniors	1-0 HT 0-0	Ferrocarril Midland

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	26	13	9	4	28	14	48
2	Club Atletico Temperley	27	12	10	5	30	22	46
3	Gimnasia Jujuy	27	13	7	7	40	33	46
4	CA Atlanta	28	14	3	11	32	28	45
5	Ferrocarril Midland	27	11	8	8	29	22	41
6	Gimnasia y Tiro	27	11	8	8	28	25	41
7	Atletico Rafaela	27	10	9	8	20	20	39
8	Deportivo Maipu	27	11	5	11	34	28	38
9	San Martin SJ	26	10	8	8	28	24	38
10	CA Colegiales	27	10	7	10	27	25	37
11	San Martin de Tucuman	28	8	12	8	27	26	36
12	Almagro	27	9	7	11	22	29	34
13	Quilmes	27	8	8	11	27	23	32
14	Agropecuario	27	7	9	11	23	31	30
15	Nueva Chicago	27	7	8	12	20	27	29
16	Patronato Parana	27	5	13	9	23	30	28
17	Chacarita Juniors	28	7	6	15	19	30	27
18	CA Guemes	26	5	8	13	21	41	23

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ferrocarril Midland	Chacarita Juniors
San Martin SJ	2-3 L	1-0 W
Gimnasia Jujuy	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Chacarita Juniors (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ferrocarril Midland

DWWDWDLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B	0-1	2-3	8	3	L
03/09	CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B	0-2	0-3	6	5	L
29/08	Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-0	3	7	W
23/08	Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-2	4	5	L
14/08	Acassuso Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
08/08	Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
01/08	Almagro Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-1	5	9	D
26/07	Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
12/07	Quilmes Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
05/07	Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B	0-1	1-1	9	8	D

Chacarita Juniors

WDLWLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-1	10	3	L
29/08	Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	7	7	L
23/08	San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-2	2	3	L
19/08	CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
16/08	CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-2	5	9	L
08/08	Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-1	8	2	L
02/08	Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B	0-0	2-1	8	7	W
25/07	Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
12/07	Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
05/07	San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	2	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ferrocarril Midland vs Chacarita Juniors?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ferrocarril Midland win (46%). Probabilities: Ferrocarril Midland 46%, draw 32%, Chacarita Juniors 22%.

How many goals are expected in Ferrocarril Midland vs Chacarita Juniors?

The model expects 1.82 goals (Ferrocarril Midland 1.13 · Chacarita Juniors 0.69), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Ferrocarril Midland vs Chacarita Juniors?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.