Prediction: SJK vs TPS
Expected goals: 2.51 (SJK 1.65 · TPS 0.86). The model gives 55% home, 26% draw, 19% away. Under 2.75 goals (54%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves SJK with 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses over 10 games; TPS has piled up 4-1-5 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, SJK won 3 and TPS 3.
| SJK | Draw | TPS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 27% | 18% |
| Market | 56% | 25% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SJK | TPS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.6 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.6 | 2.2 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SJK 3–0–3 TPS
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Finland Veikkausliiga | TPS | 2-0 HT 1-0 | SJK |
| 11/03/23 Europe Friendlies | SJK | 3-2 HT 2-2 | TPS |
| 31/10/20 Finland Veikkausliiga | TPS | 1-0 HT 0-0 | SJK |
| 01/07/20 Finland Veikkausliiga | SJK | 1-0 HT 1-0 | TPS |
| 15/03/19 Europe Friendlies | TPS | 1-0 HT 1-0 | SJK |
| 13/09/18 Finland Veikkausliiga | SJK | 1-0 HT 1-0 | TPS |
Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KuPS Kuopio | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 27 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | FC Inter | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
| 3 | AC Oulu | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 26 |
| 4 | HJK Helsinki | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 17 | 22 |
| 5 | VPS Vaasa | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 21 |
| 6 | IF Gnistan | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 19 |
| 7 | TPS | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 19 |
| 8 | FC Ilves | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 27 | 16 |
| 9 | FC Lahti | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 13 |
| 10 | SJK | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 11 |
| 11 | FF Jaro | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 31 | 8 |
| 12 | IFK Mariehamn | 13 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SJK | TPS |
|---|---|---|
| FC Ilves | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| FC Inter | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| VPS Vaasa | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| FC Lahti | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| AC Oulu | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: SJK (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SJK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 23/06 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 8 | D |
| 17/06 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 10/06 | FC Inter Finland Cup |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 30/05 | IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 26/05 | SJK II Finland Cup |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 12/05 | PEPO Finland Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
TPS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/06 | FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 17/06 | KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 27/05 | FC Ilves Finland Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 13/05 | HJS Finland Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 13 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SJK vs TPS?
According to our model, the most likely result is a SJK win (55%). Probabilities: SJK 55%, draw 26%, TPS 19%.
How many goals are expected in SJK vs TPS?
The model expects 2.51 goals (SJK 1.65 · TPS 0.86), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in SJK vs TPS?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.