Football · Norway Toppserien Women · 21/08, 18:00

Prediction: SK Brann (W) vs Roa (W)

Team pages: SK Brann (W) · Roa (W)

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

SK Brann (W)2.64

Roa (W)0.64

1X2

85% 10% 5%

SK Brann (W) Draw Roa (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

SK Brann (W) 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWDWWWW

Roa (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

SK Brann (W) 6–0 Roa (W) (6 last)

Roa (W)0-2SK Brann (W)
SK Brann (W)3-0Roa (W)
SK Brann (W)5-0Roa (W)
Roa (W)0-3SK Brann (W)
Roa (W)2-5SK Brann (W)
SK Brann (W)4-0Roa (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Brann (W) 1643 · Roa (W) 1457

	SK Brann (W)	Draw	Roa (W)
Our model	79%	15%	6%
Market	90%	6%	4%

Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Brann (W) (rating 1643 vs 1457).
H2H favours SK Brann (W): 6-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Brann (W)	Roa (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 0.3	1.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.2	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 6.9	1.6 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0	1.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.04

X15.00

226.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.25)1.90

2 (+3.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 41.90

Under 41.90

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.04 → 1.04▲	Bet365 1.04
X	15.00 → 13.00▼	Pinn 25.71 ★
2	26.00 → 41.00▲	Bet365 41.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 5.8% Pinnacle margin 5.1%

Time*	1	X	2
22:57 +2’	1.04	15.00	26.00
13:10 +3’	1.04▲	13.00▼	41.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:22 +34’	1.02	25.71	32.02

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Brann (W) 6–0–0 Roa (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Norway Toppserien Women	Roa (W)	0-2 HT 0-2	SK Brann (W)
06/09/25 Norway Toppserien Women	SK Brann (W)	3-0 HT 0-0	Roa (W)
19/06/25 Norway Toppserien Women	SK Brann (W)	5-0 HT 4-0	Roa (W)
11/06/25 Norway Cup Women	Roa (W)	0-3 HT 0-1	SK Brann (W)
16/04/25 Norway Toppserien Women	Roa (W)	2-5 HT 1-3	SK Brann (W)
21/09/24 Norway Toppserien Women	SK Brann (W)	4-0 HT 3-0	Roa (W)

Standings · Norway Toppserien Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Brann (W)	13	11	2	0	40	3	35
2	Rosenborg (W)	14	9	3	2	26	16	30
3	Fortuna Aalesund (W)	12	9	1	2	29	13	28
4	Valerenga (W)	14	8	1	5	33	20	25
5	Stabaek (W)	13	5	3	5	19	13	18
6	Lyn (W)	13	4	4	5	23	16	16
7	Molde FK (W)	13	4	3	6	21	24	15
8	Haugesund (W)	13	4	3	6	18	31	15
9	LSK Kvinner (W)	12	4	2	6	18	21	14
10	Roa (W)	12	2	4	6	10	20	10
11	Honefoss (W)	13	2	2	9	11	28	8
12	Bodo/Glimt (W)	12	0	2	10	7	50	2

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Brann (W)	Roa (W)
Honefoss (W)	3-0 W	1-1 D
Lyn (W)	2-0 W	0-0 D
Fortuna Aalesund (W)	2-1 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: SK Brann (W) (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

SK Brann (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Honefoss (W) Norway Toppserien Women	2-0	3-0	6	0	W
08/08	PAOK Salonika (W) UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying	1-1	3-2	3	4	W
05/08	KFF Mitrovica (W) UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying	4-0	5-0	13	1	W
27/06	Viking FK (W) Norway Cup Women	0-0	3-0	12	0	W
21/06	LSK Kvinner (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
16/06	Lyn (W) Norway Cup Women	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
13/06	Valerenga (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-0	3-0	9	2	W
30/05	Fortuna Aalesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	2-1	3	4	W
26/05	Lyn (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	4-0	2	1	W
20/05	Fana Women Norway Cup Women	1-0	3-0	–	–	W

Roa (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Molde FK (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	1-1	4	0	D
20/06	Stabaek (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-0	1-0	1	1	W
13/06	Honefoss (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	1-1	0	3	D
30/05	Haugesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	1-2	2	1	L
26/05	Fortuna Aalesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	2-3	3	0	L
20/05	Stabaek (W) Norway Cup Women	1-1	1-2	1	2	L
15/05	Lyn (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
12/05	Alta IF Women Norway Cup Women	4-0	10-0	–	–	W
08/05	Molde FK (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	0-4	3	1	L
02/05	Rosenborg (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	0-1	7	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Brann (W) vs Roa (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Brann (W) win (85%). Probabilities: SK Brann (W) 85%, draw 10%, Roa (W) 5%.

How many goals are expected in SK Brann (W) vs Roa (W)?

The model expects 3.29 goals (SK Brann (W) 2.64 · Roa (W) 0.64), with a 60% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Brann (W) vs Roa (W)?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.