Football · Norway Toppserien Women · 22/08, 14:00

Prediction: Fortuna Aalesund (W) vs Haugesund (W)

Team pages: Fortuna Aalesund (W) · Haugesund (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.79Total

Fortuna Aalesund (W)2.54

Haugesund (W)1.25

1X2

64% 20% 16%

Fortuna Aalesund (W) Draw Haugesund (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Fortuna Aalesund (W) 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWWWDW

Haugesund (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLWWDD

Head-to-head

Fortuna Aalesund (W) 0–1–2 Haugesund (W) (3 last)

Haugesund (W)3-1Fortuna Aalesund (W)
Haugesund (W)2-1Fortuna Aalesund (W)
Fortuna Aalesund (W)1-1Haugesund (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fortuna Aalesund (W) 1598 · Haugesund (W) 1465

	Fortuna Aalesund (W)	Draw	Haugesund (W)
Our model	65%	19%	16%
Market	64%	21%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.79 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fortuna Aalesund (W) (rating 1598 vs 1465).
H2H favours Haugesund (W): 2-1-0.
High corners: 14.7 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fortuna Aalesund (W)	Haugesund (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	3.3 / 1	1.1 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.3	0.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 9.5	2.6 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.1	1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.33

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.85

2 (+1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
10:57 +7’	1.40	4.33	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fortuna Aalesund (W) 0–1–2 Haugesund (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/04/26 Norway Toppserien Women	Haugesund (W)	3-1 HT 1-0	Fortuna Aalesund (W)
31/08/25 Norway Division 1 Women	Haugesund (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Fortuna Aalesund (W)
11/05/25 Norway Division 1 Women	Fortuna Aalesund (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Haugesund (W)

Standings · Norway Toppserien Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Brann (W)	13	11	2	0	40	3	35
2	Rosenborg (W)	14	9	3	2	26	16	30
3	Fortuna Aalesund (W)	12	9	1	2	29	13	28
4	Valerenga (W)	14	8	1	5	33	20	25
5	Stabaek (W)	13	5	3	5	19	13	18
6	Lyn (W)	13	4	4	5	23	16	16
7	Molde FK (W)	13	4	3	6	21	24	15
8	Haugesund (W)	13	4	3	6	18	31	15
9	LSK Kvinner (W)	12	4	2	6	18	21	14
10	Roa (W)	12	2	4	6	10	20	10
11	Honefoss (W)	13	2	2	9	11	28	8
12	Bodo/Glimt (W)	12	0	2	10	7	50	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fortuna Aalesund (W)	Haugesund (W)
Lyn (W)	2-1 W	0-3 L
Stabaek (W)	1-1 D	1-1 D
Bodo/Glimt (W)	8-1 W	2-1 W
LSK Kvinner (W)	3-0 W	1-2 L
SK Brann (W)	1-2 L	0-7 L
Roa (W)	3-2 W	2-1 W
Molde FK (W)	5-1 W	3-3 D
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Fortuna Aalesund (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Fortuna Aalesund (W)

WWWWLWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Lyn (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	2-1	10	4	W
28/06	Stabaek (W) Norway Cup Women	1-1	1-1	10	7	D
20/06	Bodo/Glimt (W) Norway Toppserien Women	5-1	8-1	14	1	W
17/06	Valerenga (W) Norway Cup Women	0-1	2-1	11	3	W
13/06	LSK Kvinner (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-0	3-0	7	0	W
30/05	SK Brann (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
26/05	Roa (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	3-2	10	0	W
19/05	Molde FK (W) Norway Cup Women	1-0	5-1	–	–	W
15/05	Honefoss (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-0	2-0	10	2	W
11/05	Kil Hemne Women Norway Cup Women	4-0	6-1	–	–	W

Haugesund (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Stabaek (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
20/06	Molde FK (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-0	3-3	7	2	D
13/06	Bodo/Glimt (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-1	2-1	8	2	W
30/05	Roa (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	2-1	4	1	W
26/05	Stabaek (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	0-3	7	2	L
15/05	SK Brann (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-3	0-7	3	0	L
12/05	Viking FK (W) Norway Cup Women	1-2	2-3	5	1	L
08/05	LSK Kvinner (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-2	1-2	5	1	L
02/05	Lyn (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	0-3	7	1	L
28/04	SK Brann (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	0-2	2	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fortuna Aalesund (W) vs Haugesund (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fortuna Aalesund (W) win (64%). Probabilities: Fortuna Aalesund (W) 64%, draw 20%, Haugesund (W) 16%.

How many goals are expected in Fortuna Aalesund (W) vs Haugesund (W)?

The model expects 3.79 goals (Fortuna Aalesund (W) 2.54 · Haugesund (W) 1.25), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Fortuna Aalesund (W) vs Haugesund (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.