Football · Norway Toppserien Women · 22/08, 16:00

Prediction: Stabaek (W) vs Bodo/Glimt (W)

Team pages: Stabaek (W) · Bodo/Glimt (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.21Total

Stabaek (W)3.11

Bodo/Glimt (W)1.11

1X2

80% 12% 7%

Stabaek (W) Draw Bodo/Glimt (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

3-1

Recent form · 10 last

Stabaek (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWWLDD

Bodo/Glimt (W) 0-0-10 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

Stabaek (W) 4–0 Bodo/Glimt (W) (4 last)

Bodo/Glimt (W)0-4Stabaek (W)
Stabaek (W)2-1Bodo/Glimt (W)
Bodo/Glimt (W)0-4Stabaek (W)
Stabaek (W)2-0Bodo/Glimt (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stabaek (W) 1564 · Bodo/Glimt (W) 1359

	Stabaek (W)	Draw	Bodo/Glimt (W)
Our model	76%	14%	10%
Market	84%	11%	5%

Estimated total (ours) 4.21 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stabaek (W) (rating 1564 vs 1359).
H2H favours Stabaek (W): 4-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stabaek (W)	Bodo/Glimt (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1	0.6 / 4.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.5	0.3 / 2.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	10/10/80%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6.3	1.3 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0.2	1.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.11

X8.50

217.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.88

2 (+2.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 41.85

Under 41.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 20:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.10 → 1.07▼	Bet365 1.07
X	9.00 → 10.00▲	Pinn 11.85 ★
2	17.00 → 26.00▲	Bet365 26.00

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 7.2% Pinnacle margin 8.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:05 +4’	1.10	9.00	17.00
14:11 +8’	1.11▲	8.50▼	17.00
20:43 +17’	1.07▼	10.00▲	26.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:18 +1’	1.08	10.60	16.69
20:54 +6’	1.06▼	11.85▲	19.64▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stabaek (W) 4–0–0 Bodo/Glimt (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Norway Toppserien Women	Bodo/Glimt (W)	0-4 HT 0-3	Stabaek (W)
13/09/25 Norway Toppserien Women	Stabaek (W)	2-1 HT 1-1	Bodo/Glimt (W)
15/08/25 Norway Toppserien Women	Bodo/Glimt (W)	0-4 HT 0-1	Stabaek (W)
22/04/25 Norway Toppserien Women	Stabaek (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Bodo/Glimt (W)

Standings · Norway Toppserien Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Brann (W)	13	11	2	0	40	3	35
2	Rosenborg (W)	14	9	3	2	26	16	30
3	Fortuna Aalesund (W)	12	9	1	2	29	13	28
4	Valerenga (W)	14	8	1	5	33	20	25
5	Stabaek (W)	13	5	3	5	19	13	18
6	Lyn (W)	13	4	4	5	23	16	16
7	Molde FK (W)	13	4	3	6	21	24	15
8	Haugesund (W)	13	4	3	6	18	31	15
9	LSK Kvinner (W)	12	4	2	6	18	21	14
10	Roa (W)	12	2	4	6	10	20	10
11	Honefoss (W)	13	2	2	9	11	28	8
12	Bodo/Glimt (W)	12	0	2	10	7	50	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stabaek (W)	Bodo/Glimt (W)
Haugesund (W)	1-1 D	1-2 L
Fortuna Aalesund (W)	1-1 D	1-8 L
Molde FK (W)	2-1 W	1-2 L
Rosenborg (W)	1-2 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Stabaek (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Stabaek (W)

WLWWWWWLDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Haugesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	1-1	6	1	D
28/06	Fortuna Aalesund (W) Norway Cup Women	1-1	1-1	8	7	D
20/06	Roa (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	0-1	12	1	L
17/06	Arna-Bjørnar (W) Norway Cup Women	2-1	3-2	6	2	W
13/06	Molde FK (W) Norway Toppserien Women	2-0	2-1	6	3	W
29/05	Honefoss (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
26/05	Haugesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-0	3-0	2	2	W
20/05	Roa (W) Norway Cup Women	1-1	2-1	5	2	W
15/05	Rosenborg (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-1	1-2	7	1	L
12/05	Odd BK (W) Norway Cup Women	2-0	4-0	–	–	W

Bodo/Glimt (W)

LLLLLLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Valerenga (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-2	1-4	0	0	L
08/08	Molde FK (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-0	1-2	3	2	L
20/06	Fortuna Aalesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-5	1-8	2	1	L
13/06	Haugesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-1	1-2	0	2	L
26/05	Valerenga (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-5	1-7	2	3	L
15/05	LSK Kvinner (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-2	0-6	7	1	L
12/05	Grei (W) Norway Cup Women	0-1	1-3	2	3	L
08/05	Rosenborg (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	0-3	3	1	L
03/05	Stabaek (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-3	0-4	3	2	L
25/04	Lyn (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-6	0-9	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stabaek (W) vs Bodo/Glimt (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stabaek (W) win (80%). Probabilities: Stabaek (W) 80%, draw 12%, Bodo/Glimt (W) 7%.

How many goals are expected in Stabaek (W) vs Bodo/Glimt (W)?

The model expects 4.21 goals (Stabaek (W) 3.11 · Bodo/Glimt (W) 1.11), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Stabaek (W) vs Bodo/Glimt (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.