Football · Norway Toppserien Women · 19/09, 13:00

Prediction: Honefoss (W) vs Roa (W)

Team pages: Honefoss (W) · Roa (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.91Total

Honefoss (W)1.59

Roa (W)1.33

1X2

42% 27% 31%

Honefoss (W) Draw Roa (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Honefoss (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Roa (W) 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LDLLDWDLLL

Head-to-head

Honefoss (W) 1–3–2 Roa (W) (6 last)

Roa (W)1-1Honefoss (W)
Honefoss (W)0-5Roa (W)
Roa (W)1-1Honefoss (W)
Roa (W)0-0Honefoss (W)
Honefoss (W)2-1Roa (W)
Roa (W)5-1Honefoss (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Honefoss (W) 1426 · Roa (W) 1437

	Honefoss (W)	Draw	Roa (W)
Our model	42%	27%	31%
Market	43%	26%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Roa (W): 2-3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Honefoss (W)	Roa (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.7	1.1 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.4	1 / 2.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.1	1.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.40

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Pinn 2.16
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.66 ★
2	2.88 → 2.88	Pinn 2.93

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
21:39 +6’	2.10	3.40	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:26 +56’	2.54	3.26	2.56
16:26 +320’	2.14▼	3.59▲	2.89▲
11:01 +84’	2.16▲	3.66▲	2.93▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Honefoss (W) 1–3–2 Roa (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Norway Toppserien Women	Roa (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Honefoss (W)
14/02/26 Women’s Friendly	Honefoss (W)	0-5 HT 0-2	Roa (W)
07/11/25 Norway Toppserien Women	Roa (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	Honefoss (W)
15/05/25 Norway Toppserien Women	Roa (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Honefoss (W)
22/04/25 Norway Toppserien Women	Honefoss (W)	2-1 HT 0-1	Roa (W)
31/01/24 Women’s Friendly	Roa (W)	5-1 HT 2-1	Honefoss (W)

Standings · Norway Toppserien Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Brann (W)	15	13	2	0	48	4	41
2	Fortuna Aalesund (W)	15	12	1	2	37	14	37
3	Rosenborg (W)	16	11	3	2	31	18	36
4	Valerenga (W)	16	10	1	5	41	24	31
5	Stabaek (W)	16	7	3	6	33	19	24
6	Lyn (W)	15	5	4	6	26	20	19
7	Molde FK (W)	15	5	3	7	22	25	18
8	LSK Kvinner (W)	15	4	3	8	20	28	15
9	Haugesund (W)	16	4	3	9	20	39	15
10	Honefoss (W)	15	3	2	10	12	29	11
11	Roa (W)	15	2	4	9	15	34	10
12	Bodo/Glimt (W)	15	0	3	12	9	60	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Honefoss (W)	Roa (W)
Molde FK (W)	1-0 W	1-1 D
Fortuna Aalesund (W)	0-1 L	2-3 L
Valerenga (W)	1-2 L	3-6 L
SK Brann (W)	0-3 L	1-5 L
Lyn (W)	1-0 W	1-3 L
Stabaek (W)	1-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Honefoss (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Honefoss (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Molde FK (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-0	1-0	1	3	W
31/08	Fortuna Aalesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
19/08	Valerenga (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	1-2	4	1	L
15/08	SK Brann (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-2	0-3	0	0	L
20/06	Lyn (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
13/06	Roa (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
29/05	Stabaek (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
26/05	LSK Kvinner (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-1	2-3	9	3	L
15/05	Fortuna Aalesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	0-2	1	2	L
08/05	Valerenga (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	0-3	0	0	L

Roa (W)

LDLLDWDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Valerenga (W) Norway Toppserien Women	2-3	3-6	1	1	L
31/08	Lyn (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	1-3	5	3	L
21/08	SK Brann (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-1	1-5	0	1	L
15/08	Molde FK (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	1-1	4	0	D
20/06	Stabaek (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-0	1-0	1	1	W
13/06	Honefoss (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	1-1	0	3	D
30/05	Haugesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	1-2	2	1	L
26/05	Fortuna Aalesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	2-3	3	0	L
15/05	Lyn (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
08/05	Molde FK (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	0-4	3	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Honefoss (W) vs Roa (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Honefoss (W) win (42%). Probabilities: Honefoss (W) 42%, draw 27%, Roa (W) 31%.

How many goals are expected in Honefoss (W) vs Roa (W)?

The model expects 2.91 goals (Honefoss (W) 1.59 · Roa (W) 1.33), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Honefoss (W) vs Roa (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.