Football · Norway Toppserien Women · 19/09, 17:00

Prediction: LSK Kvinner (W) vs Lyn (W)

Team pages: LSK Kvinner (W) · Lyn (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

LSK Kvinner (W)1.05

Lyn (W)1.8

1X2

21% 25% 54%

LSK Kvinner (W) Draw Lyn (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

LSK Kvinner (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWWWLDLLDL

Lyn (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDLWDLLLWL

Head-to-head

LSK Kvinner (W) 3–1–2 Lyn (W) (6 last)

Lyn (W)1-0LSK Kvinner (W)
Lyn (W)1-1LSK Kvinner (W)
Lyn (W)4-0LSK Kvinner (W)
LSK Kvinner (W)4-0Lyn (W)
Lyn (W)2-3LSK Kvinner (W)
LSK Kvinner (W)2-0Lyn (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · LSK Kvinner (W) 1460 · Lyn (W) 1469

	LSK Kvinner (W)	Draw	Lyn (W)
Our model	21%	25%	54%
Market	21%	24%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 2.84 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours LSK Kvinner (W): 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	LSK Kvinner (W)	Lyn (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.5	1.2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4	2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	2.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

14.20

X3.70

21.65

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.86

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
X	3.70 → 3.70	Pinn 3.76
2	1.65 → 1.65	Pinn 1.88 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:38 +4’	4.20	3.70	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:30 +11’	3.42	3.76	1.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · LSK Kvinner (W) 3–1–2 Lyn (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/08/26 Women’s Friendly	Lyn (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	LSK Kvinner (W)
28/03/26 Norway Toppserien Women	Lyn (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	LSK Kvinner (W)
14/03/26 Women’s Friendly	Lyn (W)	4-0 HT 2-0	LSK Kvinner (W)
07/11/25 Norway Toppserien Women	LSK Kvinner (W)	4-0 HT 3-0	Lyn (W)
14/06/25 Norway Toppserien Women	Lyn (W)	2-3 HT 1-1	LSK Kvinner (W)
23/03/25 Norway Toppserien Women	LSK Kvinner (W)	2-0 HT 0-0	Lyn (W)

Standings · Norway Toppserien Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Brann (W)	15	13	2	0	48	4	41
2	Fortuna Aalesund (W)	15	12	1	2	37	14	37
3	Rosenborg (W)	16	11	3	2	31	18	36
4	Valerenga (W)	16	10	1	5	41	24	31
5	Stabaek (W)	16	7	3	6	33	19	24
6	Lyn (W)	15	5	4	6	26	20	19
7	Molde FK (W)	15	5	3	7	22	25	18
8	LSK Kvinner (W)	15	4	3	8	20	28	15
9	Haugesund (W)	16	4	3	9	20	39	15
10	Honefoss (W)	15	3	2	10	12	29	11
11	Roa (W)	15	2	4	9	15	34	10
12	Bodo/Glimt (W)	15	0	3	12	9	60	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	LSK Kvinner (W)	Lyn (W)
Rosenborg (W)	1-2 L	2-3 L
SK Brann (W)	0-0 D	0-3 L
Fortuna Aalesund (W)	0-3 L	1-2 L
Honefoss (W)	3-2 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: LSK Kvinner (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

LSK Kvinner (W)

WWWWLDLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Stabaek (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-2	1-5	3	2	L
01/09	Bodo/Glimt (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	1-1	8	2	D
22/08	Molde FK (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
15/08	Rosenborg (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	1-2	2	4	L
21/06	SK Brann (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
13/06	Fortuna Aalesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	0-3	6	0	L
30/05	Rosenborg (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	1-0	1	0	W
26/05	Honefoss (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-1	3-2	5	3	W
15/05	Bodo/Glimt (W) Norway Toppserien Women	2-0	6-0	7	1	W
08/05	Haugesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	2-1	2-1	4	1	W

Lyn (W)

LDLWDLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	SK Brann (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	0-3	2	1	L
31/08	Roa (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-0	3-1	6	3	W
20/08	Rosenborg (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-2	2-3	3	0	L
15/08	Fortuna Aalesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	1-2	0	4	L
20/06	Honefoss (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
13/06	Rosenborg (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-2	4-4	4	2	D
31/05	Valerenga (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
26/05	SK Brann (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	0-4	6	1	L
15/05	Roa (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
08/05	Fortuna Aalesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	0-1	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in LSK Kvinner (W) vs Lyn (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Lyn (W) win (54%). Probabilities: LSK Kvinner (W) 21%, draw 25%, Lyn (W) 54%.

How many goals are expected in LSK Kvinner (W) vs Lyn (W)?

The model expects 2.84 goals (LSK Kvinner (W) 1.05 · Lyn (W) 1.8), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in LSK Kvinner (W) vs Lyn (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.