Football · Norway Toppserien Women · 31/10, 14:00

Prediction: Haugesund (W) vs Honefoss (W)

Team pages: Haugesund (W) · Honefoss (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

Haugesund (W)1.6

Honefoss (W)1.38

1X2

42% 26% 32%

Haugesund (W) Draw Honefoss (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Haugesund (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDDLLLWLWW

Honefoss (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLWDDWWL

Head-to-head

Haugesund (W) 1–0 Honefoss (W) (1 last)

Honefoss (W)2-3Haugesund (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Haugesund (W) 1526 · Honefoss (W) 1473

	Haugesund (W)	Draw	Honefoss (W)
Our model	42%	26%	32%
Market	42%	26%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Haugesund (W) (rating 1526 vs 1473).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Haugesund (W)	Honefoss (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.9	0.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6.6	2 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.7 / 0	1.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.50

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.79 ★
2	2.80 → 2.80	Pinn 2.94

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.8% Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:04 +17’	2.15	3.50	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:14 +65’	2.08	3.79	2.94

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Haugesund (W) 1–0–0 Honefoss (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Norway Toppserien Women	Honefoss (W)	2-3 HT 1-3	Haugesund (W)

Standings · Norway Toppserien Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Brann (W)	20	16	3	1	56	7	51
2	Fortuna Aalesund (W)	20	16	2	2	48	17	50
3	Rosenborg (W)	20	12	6	2	36	21	42
4	Valerenga (W)	20	12	2	6	49	26	38
5	Lyn (W)	20	9	5	6	40	28	32
6	Stabaek (W)	20	8	3	9	37	23	27
7	Haugesund (W)	20	7	3	10	29	45	24
8	Honefoss (W)	20	5	4	11	17	32	19
9	Molde FK (W)	20	5	3	12	24	40	18
10	Roa (W)	20	4	5	11	20	39	17
11	LSK Kvinner (W)	20	4	3	13	24	41	15
12	Bodo/Glimt (W)	20	1	3	16	13	74	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Haugesund (W)	Honefoss (W)
Bodo/Glimt (W)	2-1 W	3-0 W
Molde FK (W)	2-0 W	1-0 W
Lyn (W)	3-4 L	1-1 D
Valerenga (W)	1-2 L	1-2 L
Rosenborg (W)	0-1 L	0-2 L
Fortuna Aalesund (W)	1-5 L	0-1 L
Stabaek (W)	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Honefoss (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Haugesund (W)

WDDLLLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Bodo/Glimt (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	2-1	11	3	W
17/10	Molde FK (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	2-0	4	0	W
04/10	Lyn (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-2	3-4	6	3	L
26/09	LSK Kvinner (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	2-1	11	2	W
17/09	Valerenga (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-1	1-2	6	1	L
13/09	Rosenborg (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	0-1	8	2	L
22/08	Fortuna Aalesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-3	1-5	1	1	L
15/08	Stabaek (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
20/06	Molde FK (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-0	3-3	7	2	D
13/06	Bodo/Glimt (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-1	2-1	8	2	W

Honefoss (W)

WLLLWDDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Rosenborg (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
17/10	Stabaek (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-0	1-0	0	3	W
04/10	Bodo/Glimt (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-0	3-0	8	1	W
26/09	Lyn (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	1-1	6	1	D
19/09	Roa (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
13/09	Molde FK (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-0	1-0	1	3	W
31/08	Fortuna Aalesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
19/08	Valerenga (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	1-2	4	1	L
15/08	SK Brann (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-2	0-3	0	0	L
20/06	Lyn (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	1-0	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Haugesund (W) vs Honefoss (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Haugesund (W) win (42%). Probabilities: Haugesund (W) 42%, draw 26%, Honefoss (W) 32%.

How many goals are expected in Haugesund (W) vs Honefoss (W)?

The model expects 2.99 goals (Haugesund (W) 1.6 · Honefoss (W) 1.38), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Haugesund (W) vs Honefoss (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.