Football · Norway Toppserien Women · 07/11, 13:00

Prediction: Roa (W) vs Haugesund (W)

Team pages: Roa (W) · Haugesund (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.2Total

Roa (W)1.55

Haugesund (W)1.64

1X2

35% 26% 39%

Roa (W) Draw Haugesund (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Roa (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Haugesund (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DDLLLWLWWL

Head-to-head

Roa (W) 0–1 Haugesund (W) (1 last)

Haugesund (W)2-1Roa (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Roa (W) 1443 · Haugesund (W) 1498

	Roa (W)	Draw	Haugesund (W)
Our model	35%	26%	39%
Market	35%	26%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Haugesund (W) (rating 1443 vs 1498).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Roa (W)	Haugesund (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.6	1.5 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.1	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.1	3.2 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.6 / 0	1.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.40

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.55▲	Pinn 2.96 ★
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.45 → 2.30▼	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:58 +15’	2.40	3.40	2.45
17:08 +8’	2.55▲	3.40	2.30▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:51 +25’	3.08	3.55	2.09
18:08 +5’	2.96▼	3.39▼	2.03▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Roa (W) 0–0–1 Haugesund (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Norway Toppserien Women	Haugesund (W)	2-1 HT 0-0	Roa (W)

Standings · Norway Toppserien Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Brann (W)	21	17	3	1	60	8	54
2	Fortuna Aalesund (W)	21	16	2	3	48	18	50
3	Rosenborg (W)	21	13	6	2	42	21	45
4	Valerenga (W)	21	13	2	6	52	26	41
5	Lyn (W)	21	9	5	7	40	31	32
6	Stabaek (W)	21	9	3	9	38	23	30
7	Haugesund (W)	21	7	3	11	29	46	24
8	Honefoss (W)	21	6	4	11	18	32	22
9	Molde FK (W)	21	6	3	12	27	41	21
10	Roa (W)	21	4	5	12	20	45	17
11	LSK Kvinner (W)	21	4	3	14	25	45	15
12	Bodo/Glimt (W)	21	1	3	17	14	77	6

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Roa (W)	Haugesund (W)
Rosenborg (W)	0-6 L	0-1 L
Stabaek (W)	2-1 W	1-1 D
Fortuna Aalesund (W)	0-1 L	1-5 L
LSK Kvinner (W)	2-1 W	2-1 W
Bodo/Glimt (W)	1-2 L	2-1 W
Honefoss (W)	0-0 D	0-1 L
Valerenga (W)	3-6 L	1-2 L
Lyn (W)	1-3 L	3-4 L
Molde FK (W)	1-1 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 5 L	3 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Haugesund (W) (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Roa (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Rosenborg (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-4	0-6	2	1	L
24/10	Stabaek (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	2-1	5	3	W
16/10	Fortuna Aalesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	0-1	5	1	L
04/10	LSK Kvinner (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	2-1	1	0	W
25/09	Bodo/Glimt (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-0	1-2	8	3	L
19/09	Honefoss (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	0-0	0	3	D
11/09	Valerenga (W) Norway Toppserien Women	2-3	3-6	1	1	L
31/08	Lyn (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	1-3	5	3	L
21/08	SK Brann (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-1	1-5	0	1	L
15/08	Molde FK (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	1-1	4	0	D

Haugesund (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Honefoss (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	0-1	11	2	L
23/10	Bodo/Glimt (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	2-1	11	3	W
17/10	Molde FK (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	2-0	4	0	W
04/10	Lyn (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-2	3-4	6	3	L
26/09	LSK Kvinner (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	2-1	11	2	W
17/09	Valerenga (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-1	1-2	6	1	L
13/09	Rosenborg (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	0-1	8	2	L
22/08	Fortuna Aalesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-3	1-5	1	1	L
15/08	Stabaek (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
20/06	Molde FK (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-0	3-3	7	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Roa (W) vs Haugesund (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Haugesund (W) win (39%). Probabilities: Roa (W) 35%, draw 26%, Haugesund (W) 39%.

How many goals are expected in Roa (W) vs Haugesund (W)?

The model expects 3.2 goals (Roa (W) 1.55 · Haugesund (W) 1.64), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Roa (W) vs Haugesund (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.