Football · Norway Toppserien Women · 07/11, 13:00
Prediction: Bodo/Glimt (W) vs Rosenborg (W)
Team pages: Bodo/Glimt (W) · Rosenborg (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.18Total
Bodo/Glimt (W)1.09
Rosenborg (W)3.09
1X2
Bodo/Glimt (W)
Draw
Rosenborg (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-3 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Bodo/Glimt (W)
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Rosenborg (W)
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bodo/Glimt (W)
0–4
Rosenborg (W)
(4 last)
- Rosenborg (W)3-0Bodo/Glimt (W)
- Bodo/Glimt (W)0-1Rosenborg (W)
- Bodo/Glimt (W)0-4Rosenborg (W)
- Rosenborg (W)2-1Bodo/Glimt (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bodo/Glimt (W) 1375 · Rosenborg (W) 1604
| Bodo/Glimt (W) | Draw | Rosenborg (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| Market | 4% | 8% | 89% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.18 goals · Bet365 line 4.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rosenborg (W) (rating 1375 vs 1604).
- H2H favours Rosenborg (W): 4-0-0.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bodo/Glimt (W) | Rosenborg (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 3.1 | 2.4 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1.8 | 1.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 80/20/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 2.4 | 4.6 / 9.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bodo/Glimt (W) 0–0–4 Rosenborg (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/26 Norway Toppserien Women | Rosenborg (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Bodo/Glimt (W) |
| 19/10/25 Norway Toppserien Women | Bodo/Glimt (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Rosenborg (W) |
| 06/06/25 Norway Toppserien Women | Bodo/Glimt (W) | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Rosenborg (W) |
| 29/03/25 Norway Toppserien Women | Rosenborg (W) | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Bodo/Glimt (W) |
Standings · Norway Toppserien Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SK Brann (W) | 21 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 60 | 8 | 54 |
| 2 | Fortuna Aalesund (W) | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 48 | 18 | 50 |
| 3 | Rosenborg (W) | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 42 | 21 | 45 |
| 4 | Valerenga (W) | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 52 | 26 | 41 |
| 5 | Lyn (W) | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 32 |
| 6 | Stabaek (W) | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 38 | 23 | 30 |
| 7 | Haugesund (W) | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 29 | 46 | 24 |
| 8 | Honefoss (W) | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 22 |
| 9 | Molde FK (W) | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 41 | 21 |
| 10 | Roa (W) | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 45 | 17 |
| 11 | LSK Kvinner (W) | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 25 | 45 | 15 |
| 12 | Bodo/Glimt (W) | 21 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 77 | 6 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bodo/Glimt (W) | Rosenborg (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Haugesund (W) | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Lyn (W) | 1-4 L | 3-2 W |
| Honefoss (W) | 0-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Roa (W) | 2-1 W | 6-0 W |
| SK Brann (W) | 0-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Fortuna Aalesund (W) | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| LSK Kvinner (W) | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Stabaek (W) | 1-7 L | 4-2 W |
| Valerenga (W) | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 7 L | 6 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Rosenborg (W) (9 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bodo/Glimt (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Molde FK (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 23/10 | Haugesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 16/10 | Lyn (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
1-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 04/10 | Honefoss (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 25/09 | Roa (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | SK Brann (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 11/09 | Fortuna Aalesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 01/09 | LSK Kvinner (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Stabaek (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-6 | 1-7 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 14/08 | Valerenga (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | L |
Rosenborg (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Roa (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
4-0 | 6-0 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 24/10 | Honefoss (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 17/10 | SK Brann (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 04/10 | Valerenga (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 26/09 | Fortuna Aalesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 17/09 | Stabaek (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
1-0 | 4-2 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Haugesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 18 | 2 | W |
| 20/08 | Lyn (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
2-0 | 3-2 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 15/08 | LSK Kvinner (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Valerenga (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bodo/Glimt (W) vs Rosenborg (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Rosenborg (W) win (83%). Probabilities: Bodo/Glimt (W) 6%, draw 11%, Rosenborg (W) 83%.
How many goals are expected in Bodo/Glimt (W) vs Rosenborg (W)?
The model expects 4.18 goals (Bodo/Glimt (W) 1.09 · Rosenborg (W) 3.09), with a 52% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Bodo/Glimt (W) vs Rosenborg (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.