Football · Norway Division 1 · 26/08, 19:00

Prediction: Odd BK vs Kongsvinger

Team pages: Odd BK · Kongsvinger

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.91Total

Odd BK1.87

Kongsvinger2.04

1X2

35% 24% 42%

Odd BK Draw Kongsvinger

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Odd BK 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WWLDDLDWDL

Kongsvinger 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDLWWLWW

Head-to-head

Odd BK 1–2 Kongsvinger (3 last)

Kongsvinger4-2Odd BK
Odd BK1-2Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger1-3Odd BK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Odd BK 1477 · Kongsvinger 1564

	Odd BK	Draw	Kongsvinger
Our model	35%	22%	42%
Market	34%	24%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.91 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kongsvinger (rating 1477 vs 1564).
H2H favours Kongsvinger: 2-0-1.
High corners: 13.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Odd BK	Kongsvinger
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.7	2.8 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.9	1.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 6.3	2.6 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	2.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.80

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.93

Under 3.751.88

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 04:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.70▲	Bet365 2.70
X	3.75 → 3.80▲	Pinn 3.96 ★
2	2.20 → 2.25▲	Pinn 2.32

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 7.8% Pinnacle margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
06:17 +5’	2.55	3.75	2.20
01:13 +9’	2.90▲	3.80▲	2.10▼
03:55 +8’	2.70▼	3.80	2.25▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
06:22	2.64	3.96	2.32

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Odd BK 1–0–2 Kongsvinger

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/05/26 Norway Division 1	Kongsvinger	4-2 HT 0-1	Odd BK
23/08/25 Norway Division 1	Odd BK	1-2 HT 0-1	Kongsvinger
12/05/25 Norway Division 1	Kongsvinger	1-3 HT 0-2	Odd BK

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Stabaek	18	12	3	3	48	19	39
2	Kongsvinger	18	12	3	3	48	28	39
3	Haugesund	18	12	1	5	57	36	37
4	Stromsgodset	18	10	5	3	47	26	35
5	Hodd	18	9	3	6	32	32	30
6	Odd BK	18	8	5	5	35	28	29
7	Egersund	18	8	2	8	31	32	26
8	Bryne	18	8	2	8	25	27	26
9	Ranheim	18	7	2	9	44	45	23
10	Sogndal	18	6	3	9	32	43	21
11	Sandnes Ulf	18	6	2	10	26	34	20
12	Lyn 1896	18	6	2	10	29	38	20
13	Moss	18	5	3	10	29	41	18
14	Asane	18	5	2	11	27	40	16
15	Raufoss	18	5	1	12	22	43	16
16	Strommen	18	4	3	11	25	45	15

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Odd BK	Kongsvinger
Asane	4-1 W	2-1 W
Strommen	0-0 D	1-3 L
Haugesund	1-3 L	3-2 W
Stromsgodset	2-2 D	4-4 D
Hodd	0-0 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Odd BK

WWLDDLDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	0-4	1-5	3	2	L
10/08	Moss Norway Division 1	2-0	3-3	4	2	D
02/08	Asane Norway Division 1	4-1	4-1	9	2	W
26/07	Strommen Norway Division 1	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
05/07	Haugesund Norway Division 1	0-1	1-3	5	5	L
27/06	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
21/06	Hodd Norway Division 1	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
14/06	Asane Norway Division 1	1-1	1-2	11	5	L
30/05	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
25/05	Ranheim Norway Division 1	2-1	3-1	9	2	W

Kongsvinger

LWWDLWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Haugesund Norway Division 1	1-0	3-2	6	5	W
09/08	Asane Norway Division 1	0-0	2-1	11	3	W
02/08	Strommen Norway Division 1	0-0	1-3	7	3	L
26/07	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	3-0	6-1	3	2	W
03/07	Sogndal Norway Division 1	4-1	5-1	4	1	W
27/06	Haugesund Norway Division 1	2-3	2-4	6	4	L
21/06	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	1-2	4-4	9	2	D
14/06	Hodd Norway Division 1	0-1	2-1	8	4	W
31/05	Asane Norway Division 1	0-1	3-1	10	2	W
25/05	Stabaek Norway Division 1	0-1	0-2	6	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Odd BK vs Kongsvinger?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kongsvinger win (42%). Probabilities: Odd BK 35%, draw 24%, Kongsvinger 42%.

How many goals are expected in Odd BK vs Kongsvinger?

The model expects 3.91 goals (Odd BK 1.87 · Kongsvinger 2.04), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Odd BK vs Kongsvinger?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.