Football · Norway Division 1 · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: Kongsvinger vs Raufoss

Team pages: Kongsvinger · Raufoss

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.37Total

Kongsvinger2.85

Raufoss1.52

1X2

64% 18% 18%

Kongsvinger Draw Raufoss

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Kongsvinger 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWWLWWWD

Raufoss 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLLLLL

Head-to-head

Kongsvinger 1–4–1 Raufoss (6 last)

Raufoss1-3Kongsvinger
Raufoss2-2Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger2-2Raufoss
Raufoss1-1Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger1-1Raufoss
Kongsvinger1-3Raufoss

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kongsvinger (rating 1587 vs 1443).
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kongsvinger	Raufoss
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 2.1	1.1 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.9	0.6 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6.3	3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	2.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 41.88

Under 41.89

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 4.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:25

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.22	Pinn 1.22
X	6.17 → 6.17	Pinn 6.17
2	10.45 → 10.45	Pinn 10.45

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.5%

Time*	1	X	2
11:22 +3’	1.22	6.17	10.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kongsvinger 1–4–1 Raufoss

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/04/26 Norway Division 1	Raufoss	1-3 HT 1-2	Kongsvinger
06/08/25 Norway Division 1	Raufoss	2-2 HT 1-1	Kongsvinger
28/06/25 Norway Division 1	Kongsvinger	2-2 HT 0-2	Raufoss
26/10/24 Norway Division 1	Raufoss	1-1 HT 0-0	Kongsvinger
11/05/24 Norway Division 1	Kongsvinger	1-1 HT 0-1	Raufoss
06/08/23 Norway Division 1	Kongsvinger	1-3 HT 0-0	Raufoss

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haugesund	20	14	1	5	62	36	43
2	Kongsvinger	20	13	4	3	53	32	43
3	Stabaek	20	13	3	4	53	23	42
4	Stromsgodset	20	12	5	3	53	29	41
5	Hodd	20	10	3	7	35	36	33
6	Odd BK	20	9	5	6	40	32	32
7	Bryne	20	9	2	9	26	29	29
8	Egersund	20	8	3	9	33	37	27
9	Lyn 1896	20	7	3	10	35	43	24
10	Ranheim	20	7	2	11	49	54	23
11	Sandnes Ulf	20	7	2	11	29	35	23
12	Sogndal	20	6	4	10	36	48	22
13	Strommen	20	6	3	11	30	47	21
14	Moss	20	5	4	11	32	45	19
15	Asane	20	5	3	12	30	44	17
16	Raufoss	20	5	1	14	23	49	16

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kongsvinger	Raufoss
Haugesund	3-2 W	2-7 L
Asane	2-1 W	1-2 L
Strommen	1-3 L	1-3 L
Sandnes Ulf	6-1 W	0-3 L
Sogndal	5-1 W	3-1 W
Stromsgodset	4-4 D	1-6 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Kongsvinger (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kongsvinger

WDLWWLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	2-2	4-4	5	5	D
26/08	Odd BK Norway Division 1	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
16/08	Haugesund Norway Division 1	1-0	3-2	6	5	W
09/08	Asane Norway Division 1	0-0	2-1	11	3	W
02/08	Strommen Norway Division 1	0-0	1-3	7	3	L
26/07	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	3-0	6-1	3	2	W
03/07	Sogndal Norway Division 1	4-1	5-1	4	1	W
27/06	Haugesund Norway Division 1	2-3	2-4	6	4	L
21/06	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	1-2	4-4	9	2	D
14/06	Hodd Norway Division 1	0-1	2-1	8	4	W

Raufoss

LWLWWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	0-1	0-3	13	2	L
26/08	Strommen Norway Division 1	0-2	1-3	5	1	L
16/08	Asane Norway Division 1	1-1	1-2	5	3	L
09/08	Haugesund Norway Division 1	1-4	2-7	1	6	L
02/08	Stabaek Norway Division 1	0-0	0-2	4	1	L
26/07	Moss Norway Division 1	1-1	2-1	5	3	W
03/07	Strommen Norway Division 1	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
27/06	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	0-0	0-3	3	3	L
21/06	Sogndal Norway Division 1	2-1	3-1	6	2	W
14/06	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	1-2	1-6	2	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kongsvinger vs Raufoss?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kongsvinger win (64%). Probabilities: Kongsvinger 64%, draw 18%, Raufoss 18%.

How many goals are expected in Kongsvinger vs Raufoss?

The model expects 4.37 goals (Kongsvinger 2.85 · Raufoss 1.52), with a 52% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Kongsvinger vs Raufoss?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.