Football · Norway Division 1 · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: Haugesund vs Sogndal

Team pages: Haugesund · Sogndal

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.33Total

Haugesund2.57

Sogndal1.76

1X2

55% 20% 25%

Haugesund Draw Sogndal

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Haugesund 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWWLWW

Sogndal 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLWLLWDL

Head-to-head

Haugesund 1–1–3 Sogndal (5 last)

Sogndal5-1Haugesund
Sogndal0-1Haugesund
Haugesund0-0Sogndal
Haugesund0-1Sogndal
Sogndal1-0Haugesund

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 84%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Haugesund (rating 1557 vs 1490).
H2H favours Sogndal: 3-1-1.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Haugesund	Sogndal
Goals for / against (FT)	3.2 / 1.9	1.9 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.7 / 0.9	1.1 / 1.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/10/20%	30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5	2.6 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.2	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 41.97

Under 41.82

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 4.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:24

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.35 → 1.35	Pinn 1.35
X	5.71 → 5.71	Pinn 5.71
2	6.51 → 6.51	Pinn 6.51

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7%

Time*	1	X	2
11:22 +2’	1.35	5.71	6.51

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Haugesund 1–1–3 Sogndal

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Norway Division 1	Sogndal	5-1 HT 2-0	Haugesund
17/09/17 Norway Eliteserien	Sogndal	0-1 HT 0-0	Haugesund
07/05/17 Norway Eliteserien	Haugesund	0-0 HT 0-0	Sogndal
31/07/16 Norway Eliteserien	Haugesund	0-1 HT 0-0	Sogndal
08/04/16 Norway Eliteserien	Sogndal	1-0 HT 1-0	Haugesund

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haugesund	20	14	1	5	62	36	43
2	Kongsvinger	20	13	4	3	53	32	43
3	Stabaek	20	13	3	4	53	23	42
4	Stromsgodset	20	12	5	3	53	29	41
5	Hodd	20	10	3	7	35	36	33
6	Odd BK	20	9	5	6	40	32	32
7	Bryne	20	9	2	9	26	29	29
8	Egersund	20	8	3	9	33	37	27
9	Lyn 1896	20	7	3	10	35	43	24
10	Ranheim	20	7	2	11	49	54	23
11	Sandnes Ulf	20	7	2	11	29	35	23
12	Sogndal	20	6	4	10	36	48	22
13	Strommen	20	6	3	11	30	47	21
14	Moss	20	5	4	11	32	45	19
15	Asane	20	5	3	12	30	44	17
16	Raufoss	20	5	1	14	23	49	16

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Haugesund	Sogndal
Bryne	2-0 W	0-2 L
Egersund	3-0 W	4-2 W
Kongsvinger	2-3 L	1-5 L
Raufoss	7-2 W	1-3 L
Ranheim	4-3 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Haugesund (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Haugesund

WLWWLWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Bryne Norway Division 1	0-0	2-0	3	5	W
26/08	Egersund Norway Division 1	3-0	3-0	2	6	W
16/08	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	0-1	2-3	6	5	L
09/08	Raufoss Norway Division 1	4-1	7-2	5	6	W
03/08	Ranheim Norway Division 1	2-1	4-3	4	3	W
25/07	Bryne Norway Division 1	1-0	1-2	7	3	L
05/07	Odd BK Norway Division 1	1-0	3-1	5	5	W
27/06	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	3-2	4-2	10	4	W
21/06	Egersund Norway Division 1	1-3	2-5	3	5	L
14/06	Ranheim Norway Division 1	2-1	4-1	5	3	W

Sogndal

LLWLWLLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	1-2	2-3	8	5	L
26/08	Moss Norway Division 1	1-1	2-2	9	2	D
16/08	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
09/08	Bryne Norway Division 1	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
02/08	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	0-3	2-3	7	2	L
26/07	Ranheim Norway Division 1	1-0	3-2	7	3	W
03/07	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	1-4	1-5	10	1	L
27/06	Egersund Norway Division 1	3-1	4-2	4	5	W
21/06	Raufoss Norway Division 1	1-2	1-3	6	2	L
14/06	Moss Norway Division 1	2-3	2-4	7	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Haugesund vs Sogndal?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Haugesund win (55%). Probabilities: Haugesund 55%, draw 20%, Sogndal 25%.

How many goals are expected in Haugesund vs Sogndal?

The model expects 4.33 goals (Haugesund 2.57 · Sogndal 1.76), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Haugesund vs Sogndal?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.