Football · Norway Division 1 · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: Asane vs Hodd

Team pages: Asane · Hodd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.5Total

Asane1.62

Hodd1.88

1X2

33% 24% 43%

Asane Draw Hodd

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Asane 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLDLLWLD

Hodd 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LDWWLWWWLW

Head-to-head

Asane 1–3–2 Hodd (6 last)

Hodd1-0Asane
Asane0-1Hodd
Hodd3-3Asane
Asane2-2Hodd
Asane1-0Hodd
Hodd1-1Asane

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hodd (rating 1472 vs 1567).
H2H favours Hodd: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Asane	Hodd
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.2	2.2 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.5	1.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.7	1.4 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.81

Under 31.99

Diff.: 1.2 · xG: 4.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:24

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.49 → 2.49	Pinn 2.49
X	3.57 → 3.57	Pinn 3.57
2	2.64 → 2.64	Pinn 2.64

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:22 +2’	2.49	3.57	2.64

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Asane 1–3–2 Hodd

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 Norway Division 1	Hodd	1-0 HT 0-0	Asane
21/03/26 Europe Friendlies	Asane	0-1 HT 0-1	Hodd
18/10/25 Norway Division 1	Hodd	3-3 HT 1-2	Asane
26/07/25 Norway Division 1	Asane	2-2 HT 2-1	Hodd
17/09/23 Norway Division 1	Asane	1-0 HT 1-0	Hodd
22/04/23 Norway Division 1	Hodd	1-1 HT 1-1	Asane

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haugesund	20	14	1	5	62	36	43
2	Kongsvinger	20	13	4	3	53	32	43
3	Stabaek	20	13	3	4	53	23	42
4	Stromsgodset	20	12	5	3	53	29	41
5	Hodd	20	10	3	7	35	36	33
6	Odd BK	20	9	5	6	40	32	32
7	Bryne	20	9	2	9	26	29	29
8	Egersund	20	8	3	9	33	37	27
9	Lyn 1896	20	7	3	10	35	43	24
10	Ranheim	20	7	2	11	49	54	23
11	Sandnes Ulf	20	7	2	11	29	35	23
12	Sogndal	20	6	4	10	36	48	22
13	Strommen	20	6	3	11	30	47	21
14	Moss	20	5	4	11	32	45	19
15	Asane	20	5	3	12	30	44	17
16	Raufoss	20	5	1	14	23	49	16

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Asane	Hodd
Lyn 1896	1-2 L	4-1 W
Kongsvinger	1-2 L	1-2 L
Odd BK	1-4 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Hodd (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Asane

WLWLDLLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Egersund Norway Division 1	1-1	2-2	1	4	D
26/08	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	0-2	1-2	6	5	L
16/08	Raufoss Norway Division 1	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
09/08	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	0-0	1-2	4	3	L
02/08	Odd BK Norway Division 1	1-4	1-4	9	2	L
26/07	Egersund Norway Division 1	2-0	3-3	2	3	D
02/07	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	0-5	2-6	4	2	L
27/06	Ranheim Norway Division 1	0-0	3-0	3	1	W
21/06	Bryne Norway Division 1	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
14/06	Odd BK Norway Division 1	1-1	2-1	1	5	W

Hodd

LDWWLWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Stabaek Norway Division 1	0-0	2-1	4	2	W
26/08	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	0-0	1-3	2	4	L
16/08	Strommen Norway Division 1	3-1	4-3	6	3	W
09/08	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	0-1	4-3	0	2	W
02/08	Moss Norway Division 1	2-1	2-1	7	6	W
27/07	Stabaek Norway Division 1	0-3	0-6	2	4	L
04/07	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	3-2	4-3	1	7	W
27/06	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	2-1	4-1	2	5	W
21/06	Odd BK Norway Division 1	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
14/06	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	1-0	1-2	7	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Asane vs Hodd?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hodd win (43%). Probabilities: Asane 33%, draw 24%, Hodd 43%.

How many goals are expected in Asane vs Hodd?

The model expects 3.5 goals (Asane 1.62 · Hodd 1.88), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Asane vs Hodd?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.