Football · Norway Division 1 · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: Odd BK vs Stromsgodset

Team pages: Odd BK · Stromsgodset

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.9Total

Odd BK1.97

Stromsgodset1.93

1X2

40% 23% 38%

Odd BK Draw Stromsgodset

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Odd BK 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDDLDWDLLW

Stromsgodset 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDDLDWLWWW

Head-to-head

Odd BK 3–2–1 Stromsgodset (6 last)

Stromsgodset2-2Odd BK
Odd BK2-0Stromsgodset
Odd BK2-0Stromsgodset
Stromsgodset1-1Odd BK
Stromsgodset1-3Odd BK
Stromsgodset3-1Odd BK

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stromsgodset (rating 1513 vs 1562).
H2H favours Odd BK: 3-2-1.
High corners: 15 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Odd BK	Stromsgodset
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2	2.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 1.1	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 6	3.7 / 9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	3.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.93

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:24

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.22 → 3.22	Pinn 3.22
X	4.23 → 4.23	Pinn 4.23
2	1.93 → 1.93	Pinn 1.93

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
11:22 +2’	3.22	4.23	1.93

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Odd BK 3–2–1 Stromsgodset

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/06/26 Norway Division 1	Stromsgodset	2-2 HT 1-1	Odd BK
18/02/26 Europe Friendlies	Odd BK	2-0 HT 2-0	Stromsgodset
28/07/24 Norway Eliteserien	Odd BK	2-0 HT 2-0	Stromsgodset
02/06/24 Norway Eliteserien	Stromsgodset	1-1 HT 1-0	Odd BK
09/03/24 Europe Friendlies	Stromsgodset	1-3 HT 1-2	Odd BK
22/10/23 Norway Eliteserien	Stromsgodset	3-1 HT 0-1	Odd BK

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haugesund	20	14	1	5	62	36	43
2	Kongsvinger	20	13	4	3	53	32	43
3	Stabaek	20	13	3	4	53	23	42
4	Stromsgodset	20	12	5	3	53	29	41
5	Hodd	20	10	3	7	35	36	33
6	Odd BK	20	9	5	6	40	32	32
7	Bryne	20	9	2	9	26	29	29
8	Egersund	20	8	3	9	33	37	27
9	Lyn 1896	20	7	3	10	35	43	24
10	Ranheim	20	7	2	11	49	54	23
11	Sandnes Ulf	20	7	2	11	29	35	23
12	Sogndal	20	6	4	10	36	48	22
13	Strommen	20	6	3	11	30	47	21
14	Moss	20	5	4	11	32	45	19
15	Asane	20	5	3	12	30	44	17
16	Raufoss	20	5	1	14	23	49	16

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Odd BK	Stromsgodset
Ranheim	5-3 W	3-1 W
Kongsvinger	0-1 L	4-4 D
Lyn 1896	1-5 L	1-1 D
Hodd	0-0 D	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Stromsgodset (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Odd BK

LDDLDWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Ranheim Norway Division 1	4-2	5-3	4	4	W
26/08	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
15/08	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	0-4	1-5	3	2	L
10/08	Moss Norway Division 1	2-0	3-3	4	2	D
02/08	Asane Norway Division 1	4-1	4-1	9	2	W
26/07	Strommen Norway Division 1	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
05/07	Haugesund Norway Division 1	0-1	1-3	5	5	L
27/06	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
21/06	Hodd Norway Division 1	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
14/06	Asane Norway Division 1	1-1	1-2	11	5	L

Stromsgodset

WDDLDWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Sogndal Norway Division 1	2-1	3-2	8	5	W
26/08	Hodd Norway Division 1	0-0	3-1	9	4	W
15/08	Ranheim Norway Division 1	1-0	3-1	13	3	W
09/08	Egersund Norway Division 1	0-1	0-2	9	3	L
01/08	Bryne Norway Division 1	0-0	2-0	2	1	W
25/07	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	0-0	1-1	12	3	D
04/07	Hodd Norway Division 1	2-3	3-4	9	7	L
27/06	Odd BK Norway Division 1	1-1	2-2	11	5	D
21/06	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	2-1	4-4	6	2	D
14/06	Raufoss Norway Division 1	2-1	6-1	11	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Odd BK vs Stromsgodset?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Odd BK win (40%). Probabilities: Odd BK 40%, draw 23%, Stromsgodset 38%.

How many goals are expected in Odd BK vs Stromsgodset?

The model expects 3.9 goals (Odd BK 1.97 · Stromsgodset 1.93), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Odd BK vs Stromsgodset?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.