Football · Norway Division 1 · 26/08, 18:00

Prediction: Strommen vs Raufoss

Team pages: Strommen · Raufoss

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

Strommen1.96

Raufoss1.34

1X2

51% 25% 25%

Strommen Draw Raufoss

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Strommen 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDLWWLDWLL

Raufoss 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWLLLW

Head-to-head

Strommen 1–2–3 Raufoss (6 last)

Raufoss1-0Strommen
Raufoss3-0Strommen
Strommen2-1Raufoss
Raufoss0-0Strommen
Raufoss4-2Strommen
Strommen1-1Raufoss

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Strommen 1458 · Raufoss 1480

	Strommen	Draw	Raufoss
Our model	51%	24%	25%
Market	50%	25%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Raufoss: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Strommen	Raufoss
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.9	1.7 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	0.9 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 4.7	2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.60

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Pinn 1.93
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 4.09 ★
2	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.4% Pinnacle margin 6.3%

Time*	1	X	2
06:14 +7’	1.80	3.60	3.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
06:20 +1’	1.93	4.09	3.34

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Strommen 1–2–3 Raufoss

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
03/07/26 Norway Division 1	Raufoss	1-0 HT 0-0	Strommen
07/03/26 Europe Friendlies	Raufoss	3-0 HT 1-0	Strommen
24/04/25 Norway Cup	Strommen	2-1 HT 1-0	Raufoss
25/01/25 Europe Friendlies	Raufoss	0-0 HT 0-0	Strommen
06/11/21 Norway Division 1	Raufoss	4-2 HT 1-1	Strommen
15/05/21 Norway Division 1	Strommen	1-1 HT 1-1	Raufoss

Standings · Norway Division 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Stabaek	18	12	3	3	48	19	39
2	Kongsvinger	18	12	3	3	48	28	39
3	Haugesund	18	12	1	5	57	36	37
4	Stromsgodset	18	10	5	3	47	26	35
5	Hodd	18	9	3	6	32	32	30
6	Odd BK	18	8	5	5	35	28	29
7	Egersund	18	8	2	8	31	32	26
8	Bryne	18	8	2	8	25	27	26
9	Ranheim	18	7	2	9	44	45	23
10	Sogndal	18	6	3	9	32	43	21
11	Sandnes Ulf	18	6	2	10	26	34	20
12	Lyn 1896	18	6	2	10	29	38	20
13	Moss	18	5	3	10	29	41	18
14	Asane	18	5	2	11	27	40	16
15	Raufoss	18	5	1	12	22	43	16
16	Strommen	18	4	3	11	25	45	15

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Strommen	Raufoss
Moss	3-2 W	2-1 W
Stabaek	1-0 W	0-2 L
Sandnes Ulf	0-2 L	0-3 L
Sogndal	2-3 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Strommen (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Strommen

LDLWWLDWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Hodd Norway Division 1	1-3	3-4	5	3	L
09/08	Ranheim Norway Division 1	0-3	1-4	4	0	L
02/08	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	0-0	3-1	2	3	W
26/07	Odd BK Norway Division 1	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
03/07	Raufoss Norway Division 1	0-0	0-1	10	4	L
27/06	Moss Norway Division 1	2-1	3-2	4	5	W
21/06	Stabaek Norway Division 1	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
14/06	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	0-0	0-2	2	0	L
07/06	Ranheim Norway Division 1	1-1	2-2	4	4	D
31/05	Sogndal Norway Division 1	0-1	2-3	6	6	L

Raufoss

LLWLWWLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Ridabu Norway Cup	3-0	4-0	12	3	W
16/08	Asane Norway Division 1	1-1	1-2	5	3	L
09/08	Haugesund Norway Division 1	1-4	2-7	1	6	L
02/08	Stabaek Norway Division 1	0-0	0-2	4	1	L
26/07	Moss Norway Division 1	1-1	2-1	5	3	W
03/07	Strommen Norway Division 1	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
27/06	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	0-0	0-3	3	3	L
21/06	Sogndal Norway Division 1	2-1	3-1	6	2	W
14/06	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	1-2	1-6	2	1	L
31/05	Haugesund Norway Division 1	0-4	3-4	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Strommen vs Raufoss?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Strommen win (51%). Probabilities: Strommen 51%, draw 25%, Raufoss 25%.

How many goals are expected in Strommen vs Raufoss?

The model expects 3.3 goals (Strommen 1.96 · Raufoss 1.34), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Strommen vs Raufoss?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.