Football · Norway Division 1 · 30/08, 17:00

Prediction: Raufoss vs Sandnes Ulf

Team pages: Raufoss · Sandnes Ulf

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.6Total

Raufoss1.8

Sandnes Ulf1.8

1X2

38% 25% 38%

Raufoss Draw Sandnes Ulf

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Raufoss 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Sandnes Ulf 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Raufoss 0–4–2 Sandnes Ulf (6 last)

Sandnes Ulf3-0Raufoss
Raufoss1-1Sandnes Ulf
Sandnes Ulf2-0Raufoss
Raufoss1-1Sandnes Ulf
Sandnes Ulf0-0Raufoss
Raufoss1-1Sandnes Ulf

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Raufoss 1465 · Sandnes Ulf 1474

	Raufoss	Draw	Sandnes Ulf
Our model	38%	24%	38%
Market	37%	26%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.6 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sandnes Ulf: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Raufoss	Sandnes Ulf
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.9	1.5 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.5	0.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.1	2.5 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.50

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 1 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Pinn 2.55
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.56
2	2.45 → 2.45	Pinn 2.58 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.2% Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
18:18 +2’	2.45	3.50	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:36 +2’	2.50	3.56	2.55
20:52 +4’	2.52▲	3.61▲	2.56▲
15:01 +1’	2.54▲	3.57▼	2.58▲
18:17 +3’	2.55▲	3.57	2.58
11:58	2.55	3.56▼	2.58

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 3 odds moves recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Raufoss 0–4–2 Sandnes Ulf

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/06/26 Norway Division 1	Sandnes Ulf	3-0 HT 0-0	Raufoss
02/10/24 Norway Division 1	Raufoss	1-1 HT 1-1	Sandnes Ulf
15/04/24 Norway Division 1	Sandnes Ulf	2-0 HT 1-0	Raufoss
24/09/23 Norway Division 1	Raufoss	1-1 HT 0-0	Sandnes Ulf
22/04/23 Norway Division 1	Sandnes Ulf	0-0 HT 0-0	Raufoss
31/07/22 Norway Division 1	Raufoss	1-1 HT 0-1	Sandnes Ulf

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Stabaek	19	13	3	3	52	21	42
2	Kongsvinger	19	13	3	3	49	28	42
3	Haugesund	19	13	1	5	60	36	40
4	Stromsgodset	19	11	5	3	50	27	38
5	Hodd	19	9	3	7	33	35	30
6	Odd BK	19	8	5	6	35	29	29
7	Bryne	19	9	2	8	26	27	29
8	Egersund	19	8	2	9	31	35	26
9	Ranheim	19	7	2	10	46	49	23
10	Lyn 1896	19	7	2	10	31	39	23
11	Sogndal	19	6	4	9	34	45	22
12	Sandnes Ulf	19	6	2	11	26	35	20
13	Moss	19	5	4	10	31	43	19
14	Strommen	19	5	3	11	28	46	18
15	Asane	19	5	2	12	28	42	16
16	Raufoss	19	5	1	13	23	46	16

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Raufoss	Sandnes Ulf
Strommen	1-3 L	2-0 W
Moss	2-1 W	4-1 W
Sogndal	3-1 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Sandnes Ulf (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Raufoss

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	Strommen Norway Division 1	0-2	1-3	5	1	L
16/08	Asane Norway Division 1	1-1	1-2	5	3	L
09/08	Haugesund Norway Division 1	1-4	2-7	1	6	L
02/08	Stabaek Norway Division 1	0-0	0-2	4	1	L
26/07	Moss Norway Division 1	1-1	2-1	5	3	W
03/07	Strommen Norway Division 1	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
27/06	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	0-0	0-3	3	3	L
21/06	Sogndal Norway Division 1	2-1	3-1	6	2	W
14/06	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	1-2	1-6	2	1	L
31/05	Haugesund Norway Division 1	0-4	3-4	4	3	L

Sandnes Ulf

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Bryne Norway Division 1	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
16/08	Sogndal Norway Division 1	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
09/08	Hodd Norway Division 1	1-0	3-4	6	2	L
02/08	Egersund Norway Division 1	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
26/07	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	0-3	1-6	6	2	L
04/07	Bryne Norway Division 1	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
27/06	Raufoss Norway Division 1	0-0	3-0	5	3	W
21/06	Moss Norway Division 1	1-0	4-1	4	5	W
14/06	Strommen Norway Division 1	0-0	2-0	7	0	W
31/05	Ranheim Norway Division 1	0-3	1-5	6	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Raufoss vs Sandnes Ulf?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Raufoss win (38%). Probabilities: Raufoss 38%, draw 25%, Sandnes Ulf 38%.

How many goals are expected in Raufoss vs Sandnes Ulf?

The model expects 3.6 goals (Raufoss 1.8 · Sandnes Ulf 1.8), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Raufoss vs Sandnes Ulf?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.