Football · Norway Division 1 · 11/10, 17:00

Prediction: Kongsvinger vs Ranheim

Team pages: Kongsvinger · Ranheim

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.53Total
Kongsvinger2.87
Ranheim1.65
1X2
62% 18% 20%
Kongsvinger Draw Ranheim
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-1 7%
Recent form · 10 last
Kongsvinger 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
WLWWWDWDWW
Ranheim 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLWLLLDDWW
Head-to-head
Kongsvinger 2–3–1 Ranheim (6 last)
  • Ranheim1-1Kongsvinger
  • Kongsvinger1-1Ranheim
  • Ranheim2-1Kongsvinger
  • Ranheim2-2Kongsvinger
  • Kongsvinger2-1Ranheim
  • Ranheim1-4Kongsvinger
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kongsvinger 1626 · Ranheim 1538
KongsvingerDrawRanheim
Our model62%18%20%
Market62%19%20%
Estimated total (ours) 4.53 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kongsvinger (rating 1626 vs 1538).
  • H2H favours Kongsvinger: 2-3-1.
  • High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

KongsvingerRanheim
Goals for / against (FT)3.4 / 1.42.7 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 0.41.2 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/30/10%30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 62.5 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 02.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kongsvinger 2–3–1 Ranheim

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/05/26
Norway Division 1
Ranheim1-1
HT 1-1
Kongsvinger
30/08/25
Norway Division 1
Kongsvinger1-1
HT 1-0
Ranheim
03/05/25
Norway Division 1
Ranheim2-1
HT 1-0
Kongsvinger
03/08/24
Norway Division 1
Ranheim2-2
HT 1-1
Kongsvinger
01/04/24
Norway Division 1
Kongsvinger2-1
HT 0-1
Ranheim
09/08/23
Norway Division 1
Ranheim1-4
HT 0-2
Kongsvinger

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Haugesund 241815 743955
2 Kongsvinger 241653 703553
3 Stromsgodset 241563 613151
4 Stabaek 241437 573145
5 Odd BK 241167 503839
6 Bryne 2412210 333138
7 Hodd 2410410 404834
8 Ranheim 249411 615831
9 Egersund 248511 364929
10 Lyn 1896 248412 394928
11 Strommen 247512 385526
12 Sandnes Ulf 247413 354525
13 Moss 247413 385425
14 Sogndal 236512 385323
15 Asane 245514 345319
16 Raufoss 236116 266119

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKongsvingerRanheim
Egersund 1-1 D 5-0 W
Lyn 1896 4-4 D 4-1 W
Odd BK 1-0 W 3-5 L
Haugesund 3-2 W 3-4 L
Asane 2-1 W 2-2 D
Strommen 1-3 L 4-1 W
Sandnes Ulf 6-1 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 4 W 2 D 1 L 3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kongsvinger (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kongsvinger

WLWWWDWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/10 Moss
Norway Division 1
1-0 2-0 53 W
20/09 Hodd
Norway Division 1
2-1 5-1 114 W
13/09 Egersund
Norway Division 1
0-1 1-1 03 D
05/09 Raufoss
Norway Division 1
3-0 9-1 80 W
30/08 Lyn 1896
Norway Division 1
2-2 4-4 55 D
26/08 Odd BK
Norway Division 1
1-0 1-0 45 W
16/08 Haugesund
Norway Division 1
1-0 3-2 65 W
09/08 Asane
Norway Division 1
0-0 2-1 113 W
02/08 Strommen
Norway Division 1
0-0 1-3 73 L
26/07 Sandnes Ulf
Norway Division 1
3-0 6-1 32 W

Ranheim

LLWLLLDDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/10 Egersund
Norway Division 1
3-0 5-0 33 W
20/09 Lyn 1896
Norway Division 1
1-0 4-1 42 W
13/09 Asane
Norway Division 1
0-2 2-2 83 D
05/09 Sandnes Ulf
Norway Division 1
0-1 1-1 34 D
30/08 Odd BK
Norway Division 1
2-4 3-5 84 L
26/08 Stabaek
Norway Division 1
2-2 2-4 42 L
15/08 Stromsgodset
Norway Division 1
0-1 1-3 23 L
09/08 Strommen
Norway Division 1
3-0 4-1 30 W
03/08 Haugesund
Norway Division 1
1-2 3-4 93 L
26/07 Sogndal
Norway Division 1
0-1 2-3 103 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kongsvinger vs Ranheim?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kongsvinger win (62%). Probabilities: Kongsvinger 62%, draw 18%, Ranheim 20%.

How many goals are expected in Kongsvinger vs Ranheim?

The model expects 4.53 goals (Kongsvinger 2.87 · Ranheim 1.65), with a 52% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Kongsvinger vs Ranheim?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.