Football · Norway Division 1 · 11/10, 17:00

Prediction: Asane vs Sogndal

Team pages: Asane · Sogndal

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.39Total
Asane1.69
Sogndal1.69
1X2
38% 25% 38%
Asane Draw Sogndal
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Asane 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
DLLWLDDDLL
Sogndal 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LWLLWDLLDL
Head-to-head
Asane 2–2–2 Sogndal (6 last)
  • Sogndal2-0Asane
  • Sogndal1-1Asane
  • Asane1-1Sogndal
  • Sogndal2-0Asane
  • Asane4-0Sogndal
  • Sogndal0-2Asane
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Asane 1463 · Sogndal 1483
AsaneDrawSogndal
Our model38%25%38%
Market38%25%38%
Estimated total (ours) 3.39 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AsaneSogndal
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 2.31.4 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 1.10.5 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 52.7 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 02.5 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Asane 2–2–2 Sogndal

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
Norway Division 1
Sogndal2-0
HT 1-0
Asane
29/03/26
Europe Friendlies
Sogndal1-1
HT 1-0
Asane
30/08/25
Norway Division 1
Asane1-1
HT 0-1
Sogndal
16/05/25
Norway Division 1
Sogndal2-0
HT 0-0
Asane
23/03/25
Europe Friendlies
Asane4-0
HT 1-0
Sogndal
26/10/24
Norway Division 1
Sogndal0-2
HT 0-1
Asane

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Haugesund 241815 743955
2 Kongsvinger 241653 703553
3 Stromsgodset 241563 613151
4 Stabaek 241437 573145
5 Odd BK 241167 503839
6 Bryne 2412210 333138
7 Hodd 2410410 404834
8 Ranheim 249411 615831
9 Egersund 248511 364929
10 Lyn 1896 248412 394928
11 Strommen 247512 385526
12 Sandnes Ulf 247413 354525
13 Moss 247413 385425
14 Sogndal 236512 385323
15 Asane 245514 345319
16 Raufoss 236116 266119

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAsaneSogndal
Stromsgodset 0-1 L 2-3 L
Bryne 0-4 L 0-2 L
Ranheim 2-2 D 3-2 W
Lyn 1896 1-2 L 2-3 L
Kongsvinger 1-2 L 1-5 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 4 L 1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Sogndal (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Asane

DLLWLDDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Stromsgodset
Norway Division 1
0-0 0-1 40 L
19/09 Bryne
Norway Division 1
0-3 0-4 14 L
13/09 Ranheim
Norway Division 1
2-0 2-2 83 D
05/09 Hodd
Norway Division 1
1-0 2-2 125 D
30/08 Egersund
Norway Division 1
1-1 2-2 14 D
26/08 Lyn 1896
Norway Division 1
0-2 1-2 65 L
16/08 Raufoss
Norway Division 1
1-1 2-1 33 W
09/08 Kongsvinger
Norway Division 1
0-0 1-2 43 L
02/08 Odd BK
Norway Division 1
1-4 1-4 92 L
26/07 Egersund
Norway Division 1
2-0 3-3 23 D

Sogndal

LWLLWDLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Stabaek
Norway Division 1
0-1 1-2 22 L
13/09 Strommen
Norway Division 1
0-0 1-1 44 D
05/09 Haugesund
Norway Division 1
0-1 0-2 41 L
30/08 Stromsgodset
Norway Division 1
1-2 2-3 85 L
26/08 Moss
Norway Division 1
1-1 2-2 92 D
16/08 Sandnes Ulf
Norway Division 1
1-0 2-0 33 W
09/08 Bryne
Norway Division 1
0-1 0-2 34 L
02/08 Lyn 1896
Norway Division 1
0-3 2-3 72 L
26/07 Ranheim
Norway Division 1
1-0 3-2 73 W
03/07 Kongsvinger
Norway Division 1
1-4 1-5 101 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Asane vs Sogndal?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Asane win (38%). Probabilities: Asane 38%, draw 25%, Sogndal 38%.

How many goals are expected in Asane vs Sogndal?

The model expects 3.39 goals (Asane 1.69 · Sogndal 1.69), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Asane vs Sogndal?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.