Football · Norway Division 1 · 26/08, 19:00

Prediction: Haugesund vs Egersund

Team pages: Haugesund · Egersund

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.29Total
Haugesund2.62
Egersund1.67
1X2
57% 21% 22%
Haugesund Draw Egersund
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Haugesund 7-0-3 (W-D-L)
WWWLWWLWWL
Egersund 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LLLWLWDWWL
Head-to-head
Haugesund 0–1–1 Egersund (2 last)
  • Egersund5-2Haugesund
  • Egersund0-0Haugesund
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Haugesund 1557 · Egersund 1497
HaugesundDrawEgersund
Our model57%19%23%
Market56%22%22%
Estimated total (ours) 4.29 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Haugesund (rating 1557 vs 1497).
  • High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

HaugesundEgersund
Goals for / against (FT)3.4 / 2.31.9 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)1.8 / 0.90.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)70/10/20%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 6.13 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.13.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Haugesund 011 Egersund

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/06/26
Norway Division 1
Egersund5-2
HT 3-1
Haugesund
31/05/17
Norway Cup
Egersund0-0
HT 0-0
Haugesund

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Stabaek 181233 481939
2 Kongsvinger 181233 482839
3 Haugesund 181215 573637
4 Stromsgodset 181053 472635
5 Hodd 18936 323230
6 Odd BK 18855 352829
7 Egersund 18828 313226
8 Bryne 18828 252726
9 Ranheim 18729 444523
10 Sogndal 18639 324321
11 Sandnes Ulf 186210 263420
12 Lyn 1896 186210 293820
13 Moss 185310 294118
14 Asane 185211 274016
15 Raufoss 185112 224316
16 Strommen 184311 254515

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Haugesund

WWWLWWLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Kongsvinger
Norway Division 1
0-1 2-3 65 L
09/08 Raufoss
Norway Division 1
4-1 7-2 56 W
03/08 Ranheim
Norway Division 1
2-1 4-3 43 W
25/07 Bryne
Norway Division 1
1-0 1-2 73 L
05/07 Odd BK
Norway Division 1
1-0 3-1 55 W
27/06 Kongsvinger
Norway Division 1
3-2 4-2 104 W
21/06 Egersund
Norway Division 1
1-3 2-5 35 L
14/06 Ranheim
Norway Division 1
2-1 4-1 53 W
31/05 Raufoss
Norway Division 1
4-0 4-3 73 W
25/05 Moss
Norway Division 1
0-0 3-1 92 W

Egersund

LLLWLWDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Stabaek
Norway Division 1
0-1 0-4 65 L
09/08 Stromsgodset
Norway Division 1
1-0 2-0 33 W
02/08 Sandnes Ulf
Norway Division 1
0-0 2-0 33 W
26/07 Asane
Norway Division 1
0-2 3-3 113 D
04/07 Moss
Norway Division 1
2-0 3-0 92 W
27/06 Sogndal
Norway Division 1
1-3 2-4 55 L
21/06 Haugesund
Norway Division 1
3-1 5-2 15 W
14/06 Stabaek
Norway Division 1
0-0 1-3 12 L
31/05 Stromsgodset
Norway Division 1
0-2 0-5 81 L
25/05 Hodd
Norway Division 1
0-2 1-3 63 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Haugesund vs Egersund?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Haugesund win (57%). Probabilities: Haugesund 57%, draw 21%, Egersund 22%.

How many goals are expected in Haugesund vs Egersund?

The model expects 4.29 goals (Haugesund 2.62 · Egersund 1.67), with a 54% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Haugesund vs Egersund?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.