Prediction: Sogndal vs Stromsgodset
Team pages: Sogndal · Stromsgodset
- Stromsgodset3-0Sogndal
- Stromsgodset4-1Sogndal
- Sogndal1-1Stromsgodset
- Stromsgodset5-0Sogndal
- Sogndal0-1Stromsgodset
- Stromsgodset2-1Sogndal
| Sogndal | Draw | Stromsgodset | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 20% | 56% |
| Market | 23% | 21% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stromsgodset (rating 1497 vs 1575).
- H2H favours Stromsgodset: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 14.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sogndal | Stromsgodset | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 2.5 | 2.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 1.5 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.7 | 3.7 / 8.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sogndal 0–1–5 Stromsgodset
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Norway Division 1 | Stromsgodset | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Sogndal |
| 29/10/17 Norway Eliteserien | Stromsgodset | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Sogndal |
| 17/04/17 Norway Eliteserien | Sogndal | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Stromsgodset |
| 18/03/17 Europe Friendlies | Stromsgodset | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Sogndal |
| 23/10/16 Norway Eliteserien | Sogndal | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Stromsgodset |
| 16/04/16 Norway Eliteserien | Stromsgodset | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Sogndal |
Standings · Norway Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stabaek | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 52 | 21 | 42 |
| 2 | Kongsvinger | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 49 | 28 | 42 |
| 3 | Haugesund | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 60 | 36 | 40 |
| 4 | Stromsgodset | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 50 | 27 | 38 |
| 5 | Hodd | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 35 | 30 |
| 6 | Odd BK | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 29 | 29 |
| 7 | Bryne | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 27 | 29 |
| 8 | Egersund | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 35 | 26 |
| 9 | Ranheim | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 46 | 49 | 23 |
| 10 | Lyn 1896 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 39 | 23 |
| 11 | Sogndal | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 34 | 45 | 22 |
| 12 | Sandnes Ulf | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 35 | 20 |
| 13 | Moss | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 43 | 19 |
| 14 | Strommen | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 46 | 18 |
| 15 | Asane | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 42 | 16 |
| 16 | Raufoss | 19 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 23 | 46 | 16 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sogndal | Stromsgodset |
|---|---|---|
| Bryne | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Lyn 1896 | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Ranheim | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Kongsvinger | 1-5 L | 4-4 D |
| Egersund | 4-2 W | 0-2 L |
| Raufoss | 1-3 L | 6-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Stromsgodset (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sogndal
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Moss Norway Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 16/08 | Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Bryne Norway Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1 |
0-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Ranheim Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 03/07 | Kongsvinger Norway Division 1 |
1-4 | 1-5 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | Egersund Norway Division 1 |
3-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Raufoss Norway Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 14/06 | Moss Norway Division 1 |
2-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Strommen Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
Stromsgodset
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Hodd Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Ranheim Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Egersund Norway Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Bryne Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 3 | D |
| 04/07 | Hodd Norway Division 1 |
2-3 | 3-4 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 27/06 | Odd BK Norway Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | Kongsvinger Norway Division 1 |
2-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | Raufoss Norway Division 1 |
2-1 | 6-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Egersund Norway Division 1 |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sogndal vs Stromsgodset?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Stromsgodset win (56%). Probabilities: Sogndal 24%, draw 20%, Stromsgodset 56%.
How many goals are expected in Sogndal vs Stromsgodset?
The model expects 4.3 goals (Sogndal 1.71 · Stromsgodset 2.59), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Sogndal vs Stromsgodset?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.