Football · Norway Division 1 · 11/10, 17:00

Prediction: Lyn 1896 vs Stromsgodset

Team pages: Lyn 1896 · Stromsgodset

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.52Total

Lyn 18961.74

Stromsgodset1.78

1X2

37% 24% 39%

Lyn 1896 Draw Stromsgodset

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Lyn 1896 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWLWWDDWLL

Stromsgodset 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

DWLWWWDWWW

Head-to-head

Lyn 1896 0–1–0 Stromsgodset (1 last)

Stromsgodset1-1Lyn 1896

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stromsgodset (rating 1546 vs 1607).
High corners: 13.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lyn 1896	Stromsgodset
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.9	2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.5	4.4 / 8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	2.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.83

Under 3.751.96

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:01

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.33 → 4.33	Pinn 4.33
X	4.63 → 4.63	Pinn 4.63
2	1.61 → 1.61	Pinn 1.61

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.8%

Time*	1	X	2
18:16 +405’	4.33	4.63	1.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Lyn 1896 0–1–0 Stromsgodset

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 Norway Division 1	Stromsgodset	1-1 HT 0-0	Lyn 1896

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haugesund	24	18	1	5	74	39	55
2	Stromsgodset	24	15	6	3	61	31	51
3	Kongsvinger	23	15	5	3	68	35	50
4	Stabaek	24	14	3	7	57	31	45
5	Odd BK	24	11	6	7	50	38	39
6	Bryne	24	12	2	10	33	31	38
7	Hodd	24	10	4	10	40	48	34
8	Ranheim	24	9	4	11	61	58	31
9	Egersund	24	8	5	11	36	49	29
10	Lyn 1896	24	8	4	12	39	49	28
11	Strommen	24	7	5	12	38	55	26
12	Sandnes Ulf	24	7	4	13	35	45	25
13	Moss	23	7	4	12	38	52	25
14	Sogndal	23	6	5	12	38	53	23
15	Asane	24	5	5	14	34	53	19
16	Raufoss	23	6	1	16	26	61	19

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lyn 1896	Stromsgodset
Bryne	0-1 L	2-0 W
Ranheim	1-4 L	3-1 W
Hodd	2-0 W	3-1 W
Egersund	1-1 D	0-2 L
Asane	2-1 W	1-0 W
Odd BK	5-1 W	1-1 D
Sogndal	3-2 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lyn 1896

DWLWWDDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Bryne Norway Division 1	0-1	0-1	5	1	L
20/09	Ranheim Norway Division 1	0-1	1-4	8	2	L
13/09	Hodd Norway Division 1	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
06/09	Egersund Norway Division 1	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
30/08	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	2-2	4-4	3	5	D
26/08	Asane Norway Division 1	2-0	2-1	6	5	W
15/08	Odd BK Norway Division 1	4-0	5-1	6	2	W
08/08	Stabaek Norway Division 1	2-1	3-4	6	3	L
02/08	Sogndal Norway Division 1	3-0	3-2	4	2	W
25/07	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	0-0	1-1	7	3	D

Stromsgodset

DWLWWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Asane Norway Division 1	0-0	1-0	7	0	W
20/09	Raufoss Norway Division 1	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
13/09	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	3-1	4-1	9	2	W
05/09	Odd BK Norway Division 1	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
30/08	Sogndal Norway Division 1	2-1	3-2	8	5	W
26/08	Hodd Norway Division 1	0-0	3-1	9	4	W
15/08	Ranheim Norway Division 1	1-0	3-1	13	3	W
09/08	Egersund Norway Division 1	0-1	0-2	9	3	L
01/08	Bryne Norway Division 1	0-0	2-0	2	1	W
25/07	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	0-0	1-1	12	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lyn 1896 vs Stromsgodset?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Stromsgodset win (39%). Probabilities: Lyn 1896 37%, draw 24%, Stromsgodset 39%.

How many goals are expected in Lyn 1896 vs Stromsgodset?

The model expects 3.52 goals (Lyn 1896 1.74 · Stromsgodset 1.78), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Lyn 1896 vs Stromsgodset?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.