Football · Norway Division 1 · 11/10, 17:00

Prediction: Sandnes Ulf vs Haugesund

Team pages: Sandnes Ulf · Haugesund

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.87Total

Sandnes Ulf1.6

Haugesund2.28

1X2

26% 22% 52%

Sandnes Ulf Draw Haugesund

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Sandnes Ulf 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWDLLD

Haugesund 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Sandnes Ulf 0–2–4 Haugesund (6 last)

Haugesund2-0Sandnes Ulf
Sandnes Ulf2-2Haugesund
Sandnes Ulf0-6Haugesund
Sandnes Ulf0-3Haugesund
Haugesund3-2Sandnes Ulf
Haugesund2-2Sandnes Ulf

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Haugesund (rating 1454 vs 1611).
H2H favours Haugesund: 4-2-0.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sandnes Ulf	Haugesund
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.5	3.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	1.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 5.8	2.8 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.84

Under 3.51.94

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:01

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.45 → 4.45	Pinn 4.45
X	4.53 → 4.53	Pinn 4.53
2	1.61 → 1.61	Pinn 1.61

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.8%

Time*	1	X	2
00:42 +18’	4.45	4.53	1.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sandnes Ulf 0–2–4 Haugesund

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 Norway Division 1	Haugesund	2-0 HT 1-0	Sandnes Ulf
30/03/26 Europe Friendlies	Sandnes Ulf	2-2 HT 0-2	Haugesund
17/02/24 Europe Friendlies	Sandnes Ulf	0-6 HT 0-2	Haugesund
17/03/23 Europe Friendlies	Sandnes Ulf	0-3 HT 0-2	Haugesund
06/03/22 Europe Friendlies	Haugesund	3-2 HT 2-1	Sandnes Ulf
08/06/19 Europe Friendlies	Haugesund	2-2 HT 0-1	Sandnes Ulf

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haugesund	24	18	1	5	74	39	55
2	Stromsgodset	24	15	6	3	61	31	51
3	Kongsvinger	23	15	5	3	68	35	50
4	Stabaek	24	14	3	7	57	31	45
5	Odd BK	24	11	6	7	50	38	39
6	Bryne	24	12	2	10	33	31	38
7	Hodd	24	10	4	10	40	48	34
8	Ranheim	24	9	4	11	61	58	31
9	Egersund	24	8	5	11	36	49	29
10	Lyn 1896	24	8	4	12	39	49	28
11	Strommen	24	7	5	12	38	55	26
12	Sandnes Ulf	24	7	4	13	35	45	25
13	Moss	23	7	4	12	38	52	25
14	Sogndal	23	6	5	12	38	53	23
15	Asane	24	5	5	14	34	53	19
16	Raufoss	23	6	1	16	26	61	19

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sandnes Ulf	Haugesund
Strommen	3-3 D	4-2 W
Moss	1-2 L	4-1 W
Ranheim	1-1 D	4-3 W
Raufoss	3-0 W	7-2 W
Bryne	0-1 L	2-0 W
Sogndal	0-2 L	2-0 W
Egersund	0-2 L	3-0 W
Kongsvinger	1-6 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 5 L	7 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Haugesund (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sandnes Ulf

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Strommen Norway Division 1	2-2	3-3	11	7	D
20/09	Moss Norway Division 1	1-0	1-2	3	2	L
13/09	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	1-3	1-4	3	2	L
05/09	Ranheim Norway Division 1	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
30/08	Raufoss Norway Division 1	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
22/08	Bryne Norway Division 1	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
16/08	Sogndal Norway Division 1	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
09/08	Hodd Norway Division 1	1-0	3-4	6	2	L
02/08	Egersund Norway Division 1	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
26/07	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	0-3	1-6	6	2	L

Haugesund

LWWLWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Stabaek Norway Division 1	0-0	2-0	5	5	W
20/09	Strommen Norway Division 1	2-2	4-2	9	3	W
13/09	Moss Norway Division 1	2-1	4-1	7	4	W
05/09	Sogndal Norway Division 1	1-0	2-0	12	1	W
30/08	Bryne Norway Division 1	0-0	2-0	3	5	W
26/08	Egersund Norway Division 1	3-0	3-0	2	6	W
16/08	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	0-1	2-3	6	5	L
09/08	Raufoss Norway Division 1	4-1	7-2	5	6	W
03/08	Ranheim Norway Division 1	2-1	4-3	4	3	W
25/07	Bryne Norway Division 1	1-0	1-2	7	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sandnes Ulf vs Haugesund?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Haugesund win (52%). Probabilities: Sandnes Ulf 26%, draw 22%, Haugesund 52%.

How many goals are expected in Sandnes Ulf vs Haugesund?

The model expects 3.87 goals (Sandnes Ulf 1.6 · Haugesund 2.28), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sandnes Ulf vs Haugesund?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.