Football · Norway Division 1 · 11/10, 17:00

Prediction: Raufoss vs Moss

Team pages: Raufoss · Moss

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.53Total
Raufoss1.41
Moss2.12
1X2
24% 23% 53%
Raufoss Draw Moss
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Raufoss 3-0-7 (W-D-L)
WWLLLLLLWL
Moss 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LLDLDLWLWL
Head-to-head
Raufoss 3–2–1 Moss (6 last)
  • Moss1-2Raufoss
  • Raufoss3-3Moss
  • Moss1-1Raufoss
  • Raufoss3-2Moss
  • Raufoss1-0Moss
  • Moss3-2Raufoss
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Raufoss 1454 · Moss 1481
RaufossDrawMoss
Our model24%23%53%
Market24%23%53%
Estimated total (ours) 3.53 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Raufoss: 3-2-1.
  • High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

RaufossMoss
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 31.5 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 1.30.6 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/40/50%0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 5.32.3 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 0.22.8 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Raufoss 3–2–1 Moss

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/07/26
Norway Division 1
Moss1-2
HT 1-1
Raufoss
27/02/26
Europe Friendlies
Raufoss3-3
HT 1-1
Moss
08/11/25
Norway Division 1
Moss1-1
HT 0-0
Raufoss
01/04/25
Norway Division 1
Raufoss3-2
HT 2-0
Moss
08/03/25
Europe Friendlies
Raufoss1-0
HT 1-0
Moss
02/11/24
Norway Division 1
Moss3-2
HT 3-1
Raufoss

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Haugesund 241815 743955
2 Kongsvinger 241653 703553
3 Stromsgodset 241563 613151
4 Stabaek 241437 573145
5 Odd BK 241167 503839
6 Bryne 2412210 333138
7 Hodd 2410410 404834
8 Ranheim 249411 615831
9 Egersund 248511 364929
10 Lyn 1896 248412 394928
11 Strommen 247512 385526
12 Sandnes Ulf 247413 354525
13 Moss 247413 385425
14 Sogndal 236512 385323
15 Asane 245514 345319
16 Raufoss 236116 266119

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRaufossMoss
Odd BK 2-1 W 3-3 D
Kongsvinger 1-9 L 0-2 L
Sandnes Ulf 0-3 L 2-1 W
Strommen 1-3 L 1-2 L
Haugesund 2-7 L 1-4 L
Stabaek 0-2 L 3-2 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 5 L 2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Moss (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Raufoss

WWLLLLLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Stromsgodset
Norway Division 1
0-1 0-2 65 L
13/09 Odd BK
Norway Division 1
1-0 2-1 65 W
05/09 Kongsvinger
Norway Division 1
0-3 1-9 20 L
30/08 Sandnes Ulf
Norway Division 1
0-1 0-3 132 L
26/08 Strommen
Norway Division 1
0-2 1-3 51 L
16/08 Asane
Norway Division 1
1-1 1-2 53 L
09/08 Haugesund
Norway Division 1
1-4 2-7 16 L
02/08 Stabaek
Norway Division 1
0-0 0-2 41 L
26/07 Moss
Norway Division 1
1-1 2-1 53 W
03/07 Strommen
Norway Division 1
0-0 1-0 64 W

Moss

LLDLDLWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/10 Kongsvinger
Norway Division 1
0-1 0-2 123 L
20/09 Sandnes Ulf
Norway Division 1
0-1 2-1 32 W
13/09 Haugesund
Norway Division 1
1-2 1-4 64 L
05/09 Stabaek
Norway Division 1
2-2 3-2 41 W
30/08 Strommen
Norway Division 1
0-2 1-2 44 L
26/08 Sogndal
Norway Division 1
1-1 2-2 72 D
15/08 Bryne
Norway Division 1
0-0 1-2 13 L
10/08 Odd BK
Norway Division 1
0-2 3-3 32 D
02/08 Hodd
Norway Division 1
1-2 1-2 86 L
26/07 Raufoss
Norway Division 1
1-1 1-2 123 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Raufoss vs Moss?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Moss win (53%). Probabilities: Raufoss 24%, draw 23%, Moss 53%.

How many goals are expected in Raufoss vs Moss?

The model expects 3.53 goals (Raufoss 1.41 · Moss 2.12), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Raufoss vs Moss?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.