Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 02/08, 15:00
Prediction: BK Hacken (W) vs Eskilstuna Utd (W)
Team pages: BK Hacken (W) · Eskilstuna Utd (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
BK Hacken (W)2.36
Eskilstuna Utd (W)0.41
1X2
BK Hacken (W)
Draw
Eskilstuna Utd (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
BK Hacken (W)
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Eskilstuna Utd (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
BK Hacken (W)
4–2
Eskilstuna Utd (W)
(6 last)
- Eskilstuna Utd (W)1-2BK Hacken (W)
- BK Hacken (W)0-1Eskilstuna Utd (W)
- Eskilstuna Utd (W)3-2BK Hacken (W)
- BK Hacken (W)3-0Eskilstuna Utd (W)
- BK Hacken (W)3-0Eskilstuna Utd (W)
- BK Hacken (W)3-0Eskilstuna Utd (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · BK Hacken (W) 1592 · Eskilstuna Utd (W) 1497
| BK Hacken (W) | Draw | Eskilstuna Utd (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 81% | 15% | 4% |
| Market | 82% | 11% | 6% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.77 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BK Hacken (W) (rating 1592 vs 1497).
- H2H favours BK Hacken (W): 4-0-2.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| BK Hacken (W) | Eskilstuna Utd (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 6.3 | 1.8 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 1.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · BK Hacken (W) 4–0–2 Eskilstuna Utd (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/22 Sweden Damallsvenskan | Eskilstuna Utd (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | BK Hacken (W) |
| 08/06/22 Sweden Damallsvenskan | BK Hacken (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) |
| 06/11/21 Sweden Damallsvenskan | Eskilstuna Utd (W) | 3-2 HT 1-0 | BK Hacken (W) |
| 22/05/21 Sweden Damallsvenskan | BK Hacken (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) |
| 13/05/21 Sweden Cup Women | BK Hacken (W) | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) |
| 05/09/20 Sweden Damallsvenskan | BK Hacken (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) |
Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hammarby (W) | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 6 | 31 |
| 2 | BK Hacken (W) | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 10 | 30 |
| 3 | Malmo FF (W) | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | AIK (W) | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 21 |
| 5 | Vittsjö GIK (W) | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 17 |
| 6 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 17 |
| 7 | Kristianstads (W) | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 23 | 15 |
| 8 | Pitea IF (W) | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 14 |
| 9 | Brommapojkarna (W) | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 12 |
| 10 | Vaxjo (W) | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 18 | 11 |
| 11 | FC Rosengård (W) | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 9 |
| 12 | IFK Norrkoping (W) | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 9 |
| 13 | Djurgardens (W) | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 8 |
| 14 | IK Uppsala (W) | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | BK Hacken (W) | Eskilstuna Utd (W) |
|---|---|---|
| IK Uppsala (W) | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| FC Rosengård (W) | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Hammarby (W) | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| AIK (W) | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| IFK Norrkoping (W) | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Vaxjo (W) | 4-2 W | 0-3 L |
| Malmo FF (W) | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Djurgardens (W) | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 7 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: BK Hacken (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
BK Hacken (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
2-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 18/06 | FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 13/06 | Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
2-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 27/05 | AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 20/05 | Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
2-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Hammarby (W) Sweden Cup Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | D |
| 11/05 | Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 06/05 | Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
Eskilstuna Utd (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 18/06 | Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 27/05 | Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 03/04 | Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in BK Hacken (W) vs Eskilstuna Utd (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a BK Hacken (W) win (82%). Probabilities: BK Hacken (W) 82%, draw 13%, Eskilstuna Utd (W) 5%.
How many goals are expected in BK Hacken (W) vs Eskilstuna Utd (W)?
The model expects 2.77 goals (BK Hacken (W) 2.36 · Eskilstuna Utd (W) 0.41), with a 60% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in BK Hacken (W) vs Eskilstuna Utd (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.