Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 03/08, 19:00

Prediction: Vittsjö GIK (W) vs FC Rosengård (W)

Team pages: Vittsjö GIK (W) · FC Rosengård (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.7Total

Vittsjö GIK (W)1.29

FC Rosengård (W)1.41

1X2

34% 27% 39%

Vittsjö GIK (W) Draw FC Rosengård (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Vittsjö GIK (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWLDWDWW

FC Rosengård (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLLDWLDLWW

Head-to-head

Vittsjö GIK (W) 1–2–3 FC Rosengård (W) (6 last)

Vittsjö GIK (W)1-1FC Rosengård (W)
Vittsjö GIK (W)3-2FC Rosengård (W)
FC Rosengård (W)2-2Vittsjö GIK (W)
Vittsjö GIK (W)0-3FC Rosengård (W)
FC Rosengård (W)5-0Vittsjö GIK (W)
Vittsjö GIK (W)0-3FC Rosengård (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vittsjö GIK (W) 1543 · FC Rosengård (W) 1480

	Vittsjö GIK (W)	Draw	FC Rosengård (W)
Our model	33%	28%	39%
Market	34%	26%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.7 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vittsjö GIK (W) (rating 1543 vs 1480).
H2H favours FC Rosengård (W): 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vittsjö GIK (W)	FC Rosengård (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1	1.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.1	3 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0	1.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.50

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Pinn 2.81 ★
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:43 +2’	2.63	3.50	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:44	2.97	3.23	2.24
19:44 +1’	2.81▼	3.47▲	2.24

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vittsjö GIK (W) 1–2–3 FC Rosengård (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 Sweden Cup Women	Vittsjö GIK (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	FC Rosengård (W)
05/09/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Vittsjö GIK (W)	3-2 HT 3-1	FC Rosengård (W)
19/06/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	FC Rosengård (W)	2-2 HT 1-1	Vittsjö GIK (W)
05/07/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Vittsjö GIK (W)	0-3 HT 0-0	FC Rosengård (W)
14/04/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	FC Rosengård (W)	5-0 HT 3-0	Vittsjö GIK (W)
17/03/24 Sweden Cup Women	Vittsjö GIK (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	FC Rosengård (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hammarby (W)	12	10	1	1	26	6	31
2	BK Hacken (W)	11	10	0	1	26	10	30
3	Malmo FF (W)	12	6	3	3	22	9	21
4	AIK (W)	11	6	3	2	19	15	21
5	Vittsjö GIK (W)	12	5	2	5	12	13	17
6	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	11	5	2	4	9	10	17
7	Kristianstads (W)	11	4	3	4	18	23	15
8	Pitea IF (W)	11	4	2	5	12	14	14
9	Brommapojkarna (W)	11	4	0	7	15	22	12
10	Vaxjo (W)	11	3	2	6	16	18	11
11	FC Rosengård (W)	11	2	3	6	15	17	9
12	IFK Norrkoping (W)	12	1	6	5	10	17	9
13	Djurgardens (W)	11	2	2	7	6	20	8
14	IK Uppsala (W)	11	1	3	7	12	24	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vittsjö GIK (W)	FC Rosengård (W)
Malmo FF (W)	1-0 W	0-1 L
IFK Norrkoping (W)	1-1 D	1-1 D
Brommapojkarna (W)	2-1 W	1-2 L
Kristianstads (W)	1-1 D	2-2 D
Djurgardens (W)	1-0 W	4-1 W
IK Uppsala (W)	0-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Vittsjö GIK (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/07	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
18/07	Trelleborgs FF (W) Women’s Friendly	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
24/06	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-1	11	2	D
18/06	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	2-1	8	3	W
12/06	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-1	0	2	D
31/05	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	1-2	2	0	L
24/05	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	2-0	4	2	W
17/05	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
10/05	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-3	8	0	L
02/05	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	5	3	W

FC Rosengård (W)

DLLDWLDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	FC Copenhagen (W) Women’s Friendly	2-1	3-2	7	0	W
24/06	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	4-1	2	2	W
18/06	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-2	8	0	L
13/06	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-1	8	2	D
31/05	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-2	6	2	L
23/05	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	3-0	5	3	W
15/05	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	2-2	6	2	D
10/05	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-2	1-2	5	0	L
02/05	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	6	1	L
25/04	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-1	13	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vittsjö GIK (W) vs FC Rosengård (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Rosengård (W) win (39%). Probabilities: Vittsjö GIK (W) 34%, draw 27%, FC Rosengård (W) 39%.

How many goals are expected in Vittsjö GIK (W) vs FC Rosengård (W)?

The model expects 2.7 goals (Vittsjö GIK (W) 1.29 · FC Rosengård (W) 1.41), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Vittsjö GIK (W) vs FC Rosengård (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.