Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 08/08, 15:00

Prediction: Djurgardens (W) vs IK Uppsala (W)

Team pages: Djurgardens (W) · IK Uppsala (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

Djurgardens (W)2.31

IK Uppsala (W)0.97

1X2

67% 20% 14%

Djurgardens (W) Draw IK Uppsala (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Djurgardens (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWDLLLWL

IK Uppsala (W) 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LWLLDLLLLL

Head-to-head

Djurgardens (W) 2–2–2 IK Uppsala (W) (6 last)

IK Uppsala (W)2-2Djurgardens (W)
Djurgardens (W)0-4IK Uppsala (W)
IK Uppsala (W)1-1Djurgardens (W)
Djurgardens (W)4-0IK Uppsala (W)
Djurgardens (W)2-0IK Uppsala (W)
IK Uppsala (W)3-2Djurgardens (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Djurgardens (W) 1458 · IK Uppsala (W) 1410

	Djurgardens (W)	Draw	IK Uppsala (W)
Our model	66%	20%	14%
Market	67%	20%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Djurgardens (W) (rating 1458 vs 1410).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Djurgardens (W)	IK Uppsala (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.7	1.1 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.5 / 2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	10/10/80%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.8	1.3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	1.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.33

X4.50

26.50

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.84

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.33▲	Pinn 1.34
X	4.75 → 4.50▼	Pinn 4.94 ★
2	7.50 → 6.50▼	Pinn 6.85

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.6% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:36 +6’	1.30	4.75	7.50
16:37 +8’	1.33▲	4.50▼	6.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:44 +1’	1.35	4.90	6.74
20:23 +6’	1.34▼	4.94▲	6.85▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Djurgardens (W) 2–2–2 IK Uppsala (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/10/24 Sweden Cup Women	IK Uppsala (W)	2-2 HT 0-1	Djurgardens (W)
11/11/23 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Djurgardens (W)	0-4 HT 0-2	IK Uppsala (W)
04/05/23 Sweden Damallsvenskan	IK Uppsala (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Djurgardens (W)
13/03/21 Sweden Cup Women	Djurgardens (W)	4-0 HT 2-0	IK Uppsala (W)
15/11/20 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Djurgardens (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	IK Uppsala (W)
27/06/20 Sweden Damallsvenskan	IK Uppsala (W)	3-2 HT 1-2	Djurgardens (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hammarby (W)	13	11	1	1	31	6	34
2	BK Hacken (W)	12	11	0	1	32	10	33
3	Malmo FF (W)	13	6	4	3	22	9	22
4	AIK (W)	12	6	3	3	19	18	21
5	Vittsjö GIK (W)	13	5	3	5	13	14	18
6	Kristianstads (W)	12	5	3	4	21	23	18
7	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	12	5	2	5	9	16	17
8	Pitea IF (W)	12	4	3	5	12	14	15
9	Brommapojkarna (W)	12	5	0	7	17	23	15
10	IFK Norrkoping (W)	13	2	6	5	14	17	12
11	Vaxjo (W)	12	3	2	7	16	23	11
12	FC Rosengård (W)	12	2	4	6	16	18	10
13	Djurgardens (W)	12	2	2	8	7	22	8
14	IK Uppsala (W)	12	1	3	8	12	28	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Djurgardens (W)	IK Uppsala (W)
Brommapojkarna (W)	1-2 L	0-3 L
AIK (W)	0-3 L	2-2 D
Eskilstuna Utd (W)	0-0 D	0-1 L
Vittsjö GIK (W)	0-1 L	3-0 W
Hammarby (W)	0-2 L	0-3 L
BK Hacken (W)	0-3 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 5 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Djurgardens (W)

LLLWDLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
21/07	IFK Lidingo Women Women’s Friendly	6-0	8-1	–	–	W
24/06	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	1-4	7	2	L
17/06	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
13/06	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-3	5	1	L
30/05	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-0	9	0	D
22/05	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
17/05	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	6	1	L
12/05	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-2	5	7	L
06/05	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-3	2	2	L

IK Uppsala (W)

LWLLDLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-4	4	1	L
25/07	Brommapojkarna (W) Women’s Friendly	0-3	0-3	5	1	L
24/06	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-2	2-3	3	3	L
18/06	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-2	2-3	3	0	L
13/06	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-4	0-4	3	2	L
30/05	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-2	2-2	1	2	D
23/05	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	2-4	6	2	L
17/05	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
10/05	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	3-0	8	0	W
06/05	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-3	0-3	3	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Djurgardens (W) vs IK Uppsala (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Djurgardens (W) win (67%). Probabilities: Djurgardens (W) 67%, draw 20%, IK Uppsala (W) 14%.

How many goals are expected in Djurgardens (W) vs IK Uppsala (W)?

The model expects 3.29 goals (Djurgardens (W) 2.31 · IK Uppsala (W) 0.97), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Djurgardens (W) vs IK Uppsala (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.