Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 08/08, 15:00

Prediction: Eskilstuna Utd (W) vs Kristianstads (W)

Team pages: Eskilstuna Utd (W) · Kristianstads (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

Eskilstuna Utd (W)1.16

Kristianstads (W)1.55

1X2

28% 27% 46%

Eskilstuna Utd (W) Draw Kristianstads (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Eskilstuna Utd (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Kristianstads (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDLLDWLWWW

Head-to-head

Eskilstuna Utd (W) 0–3–3 Kristianstads (W) (6 last)

Eskilstuna Utd (W)1-1Kristianstads (W)
Kristianstads (W)2-2Eskilstuna Utd (W)
Kristianstads (W)2-0Eskilstuna Utd (W)
Eskilstuna Utd (W)1-1Kristianstads (W)
Kristianstads (W)1-0Eskilstuna Utd (W)
Eskilstuna Utd (W)2-3Kristianstads (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eskilstuna Utd (W) 1492 · Kristianstads (W) 1524

	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	Draw	Kristianstads (W)
Our model	27%	28%	45%
Market	28%	26%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Kristianstads (W): 3-3-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	Kristianstads (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.2	2.1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.6	2.1 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.2 / 0	1.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.20

X3.40

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.77

2 (-0.5)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 20:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.30▲	Pinn 3.43
X	3.40 → 3.50▲	Bet365 3.50
2	2.00 → 1.91▼	Pinn 2.02 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:38 +3’	3.10	3.40	2.00
16:43 +2’	3.20▲	3.40	1.95▼
20:26 +3’	3.30▲	3.50▲	1.91▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:44 +1’	3.43	3.29	2.02

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Eskilstuna Utd (W) 0–3–3 Kristianstads (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/10/22 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Kristianstads (W)
18/04/22 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Kristianstads (W)	2-2 HT 0-1	Eskilstuna Utd (W)
10/10/21 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Kristianstads (W)	2-0 HT 0-0	Eskilstuna Utd (W)
18/04/21 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	Kristianstads (W)
13/09/20 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Kristianstads (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Eskilstuna Utd (W)
15/07/20 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	2-3 HT 1-1	Kristianstads (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hammarby (W)	13	11	1	1	31	6	34
2	BK Hacken (W)	12	11	0	1	32	10	33
3	Malmo FF (W)	13	6	4	3	22	9	22
4	AIK (W)	12	6	3	3	19	18	21
5	Vittsjö GIK (W)	13	5	3	5	13	14	18
6	Kristianstads (W)	12	5	3	4	21	23	18
7	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	12	5	2	5	9	16	17
8	Pitea IF (W)	12	4	3	5	12	14	15
9	Brommapojkarna (W)	12	5	0	7	17	23	15
10	IFK Norrkoping (W)	13	2	6	5	14	17	12
11	Vaxjo (W)	12	3	2	7	16	23	11
12	FC Rosengård (W)	12	2	4	6	16	18	10
13	Djurgardens (W)	12	2	2	8	7	22	8
14	IK Uppsala (W)	12	1	3	8	12	28	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	Kristianstads (W)
BK Hacken (W)	0-6 L	0-3 L
AIK (W)	0-1 L	3-0 W
Malmo FF (W)	1-1 D	0-6 L
Hammarby (W)	0-1 L	0-1 L
FC Rosengård (W)	0-3 L	2-2 D
IK Uppsala (W)	1-0 W	3-2 W
IFK Norrkoping (W)	2-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Kristianstads (W) (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Eskilstuna Utd (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-6	4	0	L
24/06	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	5	0	L
18/06	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-0	5	1	W
13/06	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
30/05	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-0	8	0	D
27/05	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	5	0	L
23/05	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-3	3	3	L
17/05	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
09/05	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
03/05	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-0	4	0	W

Kristianstads (W)

DDLLDWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	3-0	3-0	3	4	W
25/07	Vaxjo (W) Women’s Friendly	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
18/07	IFK Goteborg (W) Women’s Friendly	2-1	6-1	–	–	W
27/06	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-3	0-6	6	1	L
18/06	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-1	3-2	8	0	W
12/06	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-1	8	2	D
31/05	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-3	3	3	L
23/05	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	5	0	L
15/05	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	2-2	1	2	D
09/05	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	2-2	4	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eskilstuna Utd (W) vs Kristianstads (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kristianstads (W) win (46%). Probabilities: Eskilstuna Utd (W) 28%, draw 27%, Kristianstads (W) 46%.

How many goals are expected in Eskilstuna Utd (W) vs Kristianstads (W)?

The model expects 2.71 goals (Eskilstuna Utd (W) 1.16 · Kristianstads (W) 1.55), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Eskilstuna Utd (W) vs Kristianstads (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.