Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 01/08, 16:00
Prediction: IK Uppsala (W) vs IFK Norrkoping (W)
Team pages: IK Uppsala (W) · IFK Norrkoping (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.93Total
IK Uppsala (W)1.11
IFK Norrkoping (W)1.82
1X2
IK Uppsala (W)
Draw
IFK Norrkoping (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
IK Uppsala (W)
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
IFK Norrkoping (W)
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
IK Uppsala (W)
1–1–2
IFK Norrkoping (W)
(4 last)
- IFK Norrkoping (W)6-0IK Uppsala (W)
- IFK Norrkoping (W)2-1IK Uppsala (W)
- IK Uppsala (W)2-2IFK Norrkoping (W)
- IFK Norrkoping (W)1-2IK Uppsala (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · IK Uppsala (W) 1424 · IFK Norrkoping (W) 1469
| IK Uppsala (W) | Draw | IFK Norrkoping (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 25% | 53% |
| Market | 23% | 24% | 54% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IFK Norrkoping (W) (rating 1424 vs 1469).
- H2H favours IFK Norrkoping (W): 2-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IK Uppsala (W) | IFK Norrkoping (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.4 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.8 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.9 | 3 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.4 / 0 | 1.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IK Uppsala (W) 1–1–2 IFK Norrkoping (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/02/24 Women’s Friendly | IFK Norrkoping (W) | 6-0 HT 2-0 | IK Uppsala (W) |
| 09/09/23 Sweden Damallsvenskan | IFK Norrkoping (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | IK Uppsala (W) |
| 16/04/23 Sweden Damallsvenskan | IK Uppsala (W) | 2-2 HT 1-1 | IFK Norrkoping (W) |
| 11/09/21 Sweden Elitettan | IFK Norrkoping (W) | 1-2 HT 0-0 | IK Uppsala (W) |
Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hammarby (W) | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 6 | 31 |
| 2 | BK Hacken (W) | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 10 | 30 |
| 3 | Malmo FF (W) | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | AIK (W) | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 21 |
| 5 | Vittsjö GIK (W) | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 17 |
| 6 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 17 |
| 7 | Kristianstads (W) | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 23 | 15 |
| 8 | Pitea IF (W) | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 14 |
| 9 | Brommapojkarna (W) | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 12 |
| 10 | Vaxjo (W) | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 18 | 11 |
| 11 | FC Rosengård (W) | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 9 |
| 12 | IFK Norrkoping (W) | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 9 |
| 13 | Djurgardens (W) | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 8 |
| 14 | IK Uppsala (W) | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IK Uppsala (W) | IFK Norrkoping (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Brommapojkarna (W) | 0-3 L | 3-0 W |
| BK Hacken (W) | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Kristianstads (W) | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Vaxjo (W) | 0-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Eskilstuna Utd (W) | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Vittsjö GIK (W) | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Hammarby (W) | 0-3 L | 0-4 L |
| FC Rosengård (W) | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 6 L | 1 W 4 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: IK Uppsala (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IK Uppsala (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Brommapojkarna (W) Women’s Friendly |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 24/06 | BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/06 | Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 13/06 | Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-4 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 06/05 | Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
IFK Norrkoping (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 19/07 | Elfsborg (W) Women’s Friendly |
3-0 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 24/06 | Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 18/06 | Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 30/05 | Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IK Uppsala (W) vs IFK Norrkoping (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an IFK Norrkoping (W) win (53%). Probabilities: IK Uppsala (W) 23%, draw 24%, IFK Norrkoping (W) 53%.
How many goals are expected in IK Uppsala (W) vs IFK Norrkoping (W)?
The model expects 2.93 goals (IK Uppsala (W) 1.11 · IFK Norrkoping (W) 1.82), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in IK Uppsala (W) vs IFK Norrkoping (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.