Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 31/07, 18:00

Prediction: Malmo FF (W) vs Pitea IF (W)

Team pages: Malmo FF (W) · Pitea IF (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

Malmo FF (W)2.01

Pitea IF (W)0.74

1X2

67% 21% 12%

Malmo FF (W) Draw Pitea IF (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Malmo FF (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLLDWDWWDL

Pitea IF (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWWWLLWLLD

Head-to-head

Malmo FF (W) 1–2 Pitea IF (W) (3 last)

Malmo FF (W)2-3Pitea IF (W)
Malmo FF (W)1-2Pitea IF (W)
Pitea IF (W)0-3Malmo FF (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Malmo FF (W) 1508 · Pitea IF (W) 1512

	Malmo FF (W)	Draw	Pitea IF (W)
Our model	66%	22%	12%
Market	67%	20%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Pitea IF (W): 2-0-1.
High corners: 12.4 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Malmo FF (W)	Pitea IF (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.9	1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.9	3.1 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.33

X4.50

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)2.00

2 (+1.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Pinn 1.37 ★
X	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 4.54
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:05 +1’	1.33	4.50	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:07 +1’	1.37	4.54	6.99

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Malmo FF (W) 1–0–2 Pitea IF (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/26 Sweden Cup Women	Malmo FF (W)	2-3 HT 1-0	Pitea IF (W)
02/11/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Malmo FF (W)	1-2 HT 1-2	Pitea IF (W)
15/06/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Pitea IF (W)	0-3 HT 0-0	Malmo FF (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hammarby (W)	12	10	1	1	26	6	31
2	BK Hacken (W)	11	10	0	1	26	10	30
3	Malmo FF (W)	12	6	3	3	22	9	21
4	AIK (W)	11	6	3	2	19	15	21
5	Vittsjö GIK (W)	12	5	2	5	12	13	17
6	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	11	5	2	4	9	10	17
7	Kristianstads (W)	11	4	3	4	18	23	15
8	Pitea IF (W)	11	4	2	5	12	14	14
9	Brommapojkarna (W)	11	4	0	7	15	22	12
10	Vaxjo (W)	11	3	2	6	16	18	11
11	FC Rosengård (W)	11	2	3	6	15	17	9
12	IFK Norrkoping (W)	12	1	6	5	10	17	9
13	Djurgardens (W)	11	2	2	7	6	20	8
14	IK Uppsala (W)	11	1	3	7	12	24	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Malmo FF (W)	Pitea IF (W)
Vittsjö GIK (W)	0-1 L	1-0 W
Djurgardens (W)	1-0 W	0-1 L
Eskilstuna Utd (W)	1-1 D	0-2 L
Vaxjo (W)	3-0 W	2-1 W
AIK (W)	2-2 D	1-2 L
Hammarby (W)	1-2 L	1-1 D
FC Rosengård (W)	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Malmo FF (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Malmo FF (W)

WLLDWDWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/07	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	9	3	L
18/07	Brondby (W) Women’s Friendly	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
27/06	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	3-0	6-0	2	1	W
17/06	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
13/06	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-1	10	4	D
31/05	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	3-0	4	1	W
23/05	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	2-2	7	3	D
20/05	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-2	7	3	L
11/05	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	1-2	5	2	L
02/05	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	4	1	W

Pitea IF (W)

DWWWLLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/06	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-1	2	0	D
18/06	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-2	8	1	L
13/06	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-2	6	1	L
30/05	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-1	3	1	W
22/05	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
17/05	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
10/05	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-1	2-1	5	0	W
03/05	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	2-1	10	0	W
26/04	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	12	0	W
05/04	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-0	10	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Malmo FF (W) vs Pitea IF (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Malmo FF (W) win (67%). Probabilities: Malmo FF (W) 67%, draw 21%, Pitea IF (W) 12%.

How many goals are expected in Malmo FF (W) vs Pitea IF (W)?

The model expects 2.75 goals (Malmo FF (W) 2.01 · Pitea IF (W) 0.74), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Malmo FF (W) vs Pitea IF (W)?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.