Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 29/08, 15:00

Prediction: Vaxjo (W) vs Malmo FF (W)

Team pages: Vaxjo (W) · Malmo FF (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.08Total

Vaxjo (W)1.4

Malmo FF (W)1.68

1X2

31% 26% 43%

Vaxjo (W) Draw Malmo FF (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Vaxjo (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWDWLWLW

Malmo FF (W) 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LDWDWWLDWD

Head-to-head

Vaxjo (W) 0–5 Malmo FF (W) (5 last)

Malmo FF (W)3-0Vaxjo (W)
Vaxjo (W)2-4Malmo FF (W)
Malmo FF (W)3-1Vaxjo (W)
Vaxjo (W)2-4Malmo FF (W)
Malmo FF (W)4-3Vaxjo (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Malmo FF (W) (rating 1456 vs 1554).
H2H favours Malmo FF (W): 5-0-0.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vaxjo (W)	Malmo FF (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.8	2.1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1	1.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.5	2.7 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.5 / 0	2.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:35

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	8.35 → 8.35	Pinn 8.35
X	5.19 → 5.19	Pinn 5.19
2	1.28 → 1.28	Pinn 1.28

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:34 +1’	8.35	5.19	1.28

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vaxjo (W) 0–0–5 Malmo FF (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Malmo FF (W)	3-0 HT 2-0	Vaxjo (W)
27/02/26 Women’s Friendly	Vaxjo (W)	2-4 HT 0-1	Malmo FF (W)
30/08/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Malmo FF (W)	3-1 HT 2-1	Vaxjo (W)
16/05/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Vaxjo (W)	2-4 HT 0-1	Malmo FF (W)
03/03/25 Sweden Cup Women	Malmo FF (W)	4-3 HT 2-3	Vaxjo (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Hacken (W)	15	14	0	1	46	12	42
2	Hammarby (W)	15	12	2	1	37	7	38
3	Malmo FF (W)	15	7	5	3	29	10	26
4	AIK (W)	15	7	3	5	22	24	24
5	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	15	7	2	6	11	17	23
6	Kristianstads (W)	15	6	4	5	27	25	22
7	Vittsjö GIK (W)	15	6	4	5	16	16	22
8	Pitea IF (W)	15	5	3	7	18	24	18
9	Vaxjo (W)	15	5	2	8	21	26	17
10	Brommapojkarna (W)	15	5	1	9	19	32	16
11	Djurgardens (W)	15	4	3	8	20	26	15
12	IFK Norrkoping (W)	15	2	7	6	15	23	13
13	FC Rosengård (W)	15	2	5	8	17	22	11
14	IK Uppsala (W)	15	1	3	11	13	47	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vaxjo (W)	Malmo FF (W)
Eskilstuna Utd (W)	1-0 W	1-1 D
Djurgardens (W)	2-3 L	1-0 W
Hammarby (W)	0-5 L	1-1 D
IK Uppsala (W)	4-0 W	6-0 W
Vittsjö GIK (W)	0-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Malmo FF (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vaxjo (W)

LLLWDWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
14/08	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	2-3	6	2	L
07/08	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-0	7	1	W
31/07	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-3	0-5	1	0	L
24/06	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	2-1	2	1	W
18/06	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
13/06	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	4-0	4-0	5	2	W
31/05	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-3	4	1	L
24/05	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-2	7	2	L
20/05	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-2	2-4	2	1	L

Malmo FF (W)

LDWDWWLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-1	4	1	D
15/08	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	5-0	6-0	6	0	W
31/07	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
27/07	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	9	3	L
27/06	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	3-0	6-0	2	1	W
17/06	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
13/06	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-1	10	4	D
31/05	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	3-0	4	1	W
23/05	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	2-2	7	3	D
20/05	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-2	7	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vaxjo (W) vs Malmo FF (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Malmo FF (W) win (43%). Probabilities: Vaxjo (W) 31%, draw 26%, Malmo FF (W) 43%.

How many goals are expected in Vaxjo (W) vs Malmo FF (W)?

The model expects 3.08 goals (Vaxjo (W) 1.4 · Malmo FF (W) 1.68), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Vaxjo (W) vs Malmo FF (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.