Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: Eskilstuna Utd (W) vs AIK (W)

Team pages: Eskilstuna Utd (W) · AIK (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.49Total

Eskilstuna Utd (W)1.13

AIK (W)1.36

1X2

31% 27% 42%

Eskilstuna Utd (W) Draw AIK (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Eskilstuna Utd (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDDWLLWWLW

AIK (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WDWLWLWLLL

Head-to-head

Eskilstuna Utd (W) 3–3 AIK (W) (6 last)

AIK (W)1-0Eskilstuna Utd (W)
Eskilstuna Utd (W)0-3AIK (W)
AIK (W)6-0Eskilstuna Utd (W)
AIK (W)1-2Eskilstuna Utd (W)
Eskilstuna Utd (W)1-0AIK (W)
Eskilstuna Utd (W)1-0AIK (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eskilstuna Utd (W) 1492 · AIK (W) 1483

	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	Draw	AIK (W)
Our model	30%	29%	41%
Market	32%	26%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12.4 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	AIK (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1	1.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.5 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.3	3.2 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.9 / 0	1.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.50

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.80▲	Bet365 2.80
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.30 → 2.10▼	Pinn 2.36 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:01 +6’	2.55	3.50	2.30
19:46 +7’	2.80▲	3.50	2.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:52 +1’	2.66	3.43	2.36

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Eskilstuna Utd (W) 3–0–3 AIK (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/06/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan	AIK (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Eskilstuna Utd (W)
13/08/23 Sweden Elitettan	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	0-3 HT 0-1	AIK (W)
27/05/23 Sweden Elitettan	AIK (W)	6-0 HT 4-0	Eskilstuna Utd (W)
25/09/22 Sweden Damallsvenskan	AIK (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	Eskilstuna Utd (W)
12/05/22 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	AIK (W)
07/07/21 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	AIK (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Hacken (W)	16	15	0	1	47	12	45
2	Hammarby (W)	16	13	2	1	40	8	41
3	Malmo FF (W)	16	8	5	3	33	10	29
4	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	16	8	2	6	17	17	26
5	Kristianstads (W)	16	7	4	5	28	25	25
6	AIK (W)	16	7	3	6	22	25	24
7	Vittsjö GIK (W)	16	6	4	6	17	19	22
8	Pitea IF (W)	16	5	4	7	19	25	19
9	Djurgardens (W)	16	5	3	8	21	26	18
10	Vaxjo (W)	16	5	2	9	21	30	17
11	Brommapojkarna (W)	16	5	2	9	20	33	17
12	IFK Norrkoping (W)	16	2	7	7	15	24	13
13	FC Rosengård (W)	16	2	5	9	17	23	11
14	IK Uppsala (W)	16	1	3	12	13	53	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	AIK (W)
IK Uppsala (W)	6-0 W	2-2 D
Kristianstads (W)	1-0 W	0-1 L
BK Hacken (W)	0-6 L	1-4 L
Djurgardens (W)	0-0 D	3-0 W
Hammarby (W)	0-1 L	1-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Eskilstuna Utd (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eskilstuna Utd (W)

LDDWLLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	5-0	6-0	14	1	W
22/08	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
15/08	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	0	1	W
08/08	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	1	0	W
02/08	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-6	4	0	L
24/06	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	5	0	L
18/06	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-0	5	1	W
13/06	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
30/05	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-0	8	0	D
27/05	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	5	0	L

AIK (W)

WDWLWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	6	1	L
23/08	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-2	1-4	1	2	L
15/08	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-2	11	1	L
07/08	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	9	2	W
01/08	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-3	0-3	3	4	L
24/06	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	6	0	W
17/06	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-3	1-4	9	1	L
13/06	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	3-0	8	1	W
30/05	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-2	2-2	11	2	D
27/05	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	2-1	7	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eskilstuna Utd (W) vs AIK (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an AIK (W) win (42%). Probabilities: Eskilstuna Utd (W) 31%, draw 27%, AIK (W) 42%.

How many goals are expected in Eskilstuna Utd (W) vs AIK (W)?

The model expects 2.49 goals (Eskilstuna Utd (W) 1.13 · AIK (W) 1.36), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Eskilstuna Utd (W) vs AIK (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.