Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 05/09, 15:00
Prediction: Hammarby (W) vs IFK Norrkoping (W)
Team pages: Hammarby (W) · IFK Norrkoping (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.47Total
Hammarby (W)2.73
IFK Norrkoping (W)0.73
1X2
Hammarby (W)
Draw
IFK Norrkoping (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Hammarby (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
IFK Norrkoping (W)
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hammarby (W)
5–1–0
IFK Norrkoping (W)
(6 last)
- IFK Norrkoping (W)0-4Hammarby (W)
- Hammarby (W)4-0IFK Norrkoping (W)
- Hammarby (W)4-0IFK Norrkoping (W)
- IFK Norrkoping (W)2-2Hammarby (W)
- Hammarby (W)2-0IFK Norrkoping (W)
- IFK Norrkoping (W)0-3Hammarby (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hammarby (W) 1599 · IFK Norrkoping (W) 1440
| Hammarby (W) | Draw | IFK Norrkoping (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 79% | 15% | 7% |
| Market | 81% | 12% | 7% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.47 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hammarby (W) (rating 1599 vs 1440).
- H2H favours Hammarby (W): 5-1-0.
- High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hammarby (W) | IFK Norrkoping (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.6 | 2.6 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.6 / 0 | 1.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hammarby (W) 5–1–0 IFK Norrkoping (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan | IFK Norrkoping (W) | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Hammarby (W) |
| 24/01/26 Women’s Friendly | Hammarby (W) | 4-0 HT 1-0 | IFK Norrkoping (W) |
| 02/11/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan | Hammarby (W) | 4-0 HT 1-0 | IFK Norrkoping (W) |
| 22/06/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan | IFK Norrkoping (W) | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Hammarby (W) |
| 22/05/25 Sweden Cup Women | Hammarby (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | IFK Norrkoping (W) |
| 29/06/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan | IFK Norrkoping (W) | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Hammarby (W) |
Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BK Hacken (W) | 16 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 47 | 12 | 45 |
| 2 | Hammarby (W) | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 40 | 8 | 41 |
| 3 | Malmo FF (W) | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 10 | 29 |
| 4 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 26 |
| 5 | Kristianstads (W) | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 25 |
| 6 | AIK (W) | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | 24 |
| 7 | Vittsjö GIK (W) | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 19 | 22 |
| 8 | Pitea IF (W) | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 25 | 19 |
| 9 | Djurgardens (W) | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 26 | 18 |
| 10 | Vaxjo (W) | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 30 | 17 |
| 11 | Brommapojkarna (W) | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 17 |
| 12 | IFK Norrkoping (W) | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 13 |
| 13 | FC Rosengård (W) | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 23 | 11 |
| 14 | IK Uppsala (W) | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 53 | 6 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hammarby (W) | IFK Norrkoping (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Vittsjö GIK (W) | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Pitea IF (W) | 5-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Vaxjo (W) | 5-0 W | 0-0 D |
| BK Hacken (W) | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Hammarby (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hammarby (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 21/08 | Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 16/08 | Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
4-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 31/07 | Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
3-0 | 5-0 | 14 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
3-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 25/06 | Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 17/06 | AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
3-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 27/05 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
IFK Norrkoping (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 16/08 | Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-5 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 01/08 | IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 24/06 | Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 18/06 | Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 30/05 | Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hammarby (W) vs IFK Norrkoping (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hammarby (W) win (80%). Probabilities: Hammarby (W) 80%, draw 13%, IFK Norrkoping (W) 7%.
How many goals are expected in Hammarby (W) vs IFK Norrkoping (W)?
The model expects 3.47 goals (Hammarby (W) 2.73 · IFK Norrkoping (W) 0.73), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hammarby (W) vs IFK Norrkoping (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.