Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 05/09, 14:00

Prediction: Djurgardens (W) vs FC Rosengård (W)

Team pages: Djurgardens (W) · FC Rosengård (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.02Total

Djurgardens (W)1.71

FC Rosengård (W)1.32

1X2

46% 25% 29%

Djurgardens (W) Draw FC Rosengård (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Djurgardens (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDLLLLWWDW

FC Rosengård (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WLDLWDLLDL

Head-to-head

Djurgardens (W) 1–2–3 FC Rosengård (W) (6 last)

FC Rosengård (W)4-1Djurgardens (W)
FC Rosengård (W)1-2Djurgardens (W)
Djurgardens (W)2-2FC Rosengård (W)
Djurgardens (W)0-3FC Rosengård (W)
FC Rosengård (W)3-0Djurgardens (W)
FC Rosengård (W)2-2Djurgardens (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Djurgardens (W) 1535 · FC Rosengård (W) 1466

	Djurgardens (W)	Draw	FC Rosengård (W)
Our model	46%	26%	29%
Market	46%	25%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.02 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Djurgardens (W) (rating 1535 vs 1466).
H2H favours FC Rosengård (W): 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Djurgardens (W)	FC Rosengård (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.4	1.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 6.1	2.4 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0	1.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.60

23.10

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.91

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 2.30 ★
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:29 +21’	1.95	3.60	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:49	2.30	3.28	2.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Djurgardens (W) 1–2–3 FC Rosengård (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/06/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan	FC Rosengård (W)	4-1 HT 2-0	Djurgardens (W)
11/10/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	FC Rosengård (W)	1-2 HT 0-0	Djurgardens (W)
27/04/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Djurgardens (W)	2-2 HT 2-2	FC Rosengård (W)
09/11/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Djurgardens (W)	0-3 HT 0-1	FC Rosengård (W)
10/05/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	FC Rosengård (W)	3-0 HT 2-0	Djurgardens (W)
06/10/23 Sweden Damallsvenskan	FC Rosengård (W)	2-2 HT 1-2	Djurgardens (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Hacken (W)	16	15	0	1	47	12	45
2	Hammarby (W)	16	13	2	1	40	8	41
3	Malmo FF (W)	16	8	5	3	33	10	29
4	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	16	8	2	6	17	17	26
5	Kristianstads (W)	16	7	4	5	28	25	25
6	AIK (W)	16	7	3	6	22	25	24
7	Vittsjö GIK (W)	16	6	4	6	17	19	22
8	Pitea IF (W)	16	5	4	7	19	25	19
9	Djurgardens (W)	16	5	3	8	21	26	18
10	Vaxjo (W)	16	5	2	9	21	30	17
11	Brommapojkarna (W)	16	5	2	9	20	33	17
12	IFK Norrkoping (W)	16	2	7	7	15	24	13
13	FC Rosengård (W)	16	2	5	9	17	23	11
14	IK Uppsala (W)	16	1	3	12	13	53	6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Djurgardens (W)	FC Rosengård (W)
IFK Norrkoping (W)	1-0 W	1-1 D
Brommapojkarna (W)	2-2 D	1-2 L
Vaxjo (W)	3-2 W	0-2 L
Eskilstuna Utd (W)	0-0 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Djurgardens (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Djurgardens (W)

WDLLLLWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
22/08	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	2-2	2	1	D
14/08	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	3-2	4	2	W
08/08	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	3-0	8-0	18	0	W
01/08	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
24/06	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	1-4	7	2	L
17/06	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
13/06	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-3	5	1	L
30/05	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-0	9	0	D
22/05	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	2	3	W

FC Rosengård (W)

WLDLWDLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
22/08	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	1-1	0	0	D
15/08	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	13	1	L
07/08	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-2	8	1	L
03/08	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-1	4	2	D
24/06	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	4-1	2	2	W
18/06	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-2	8	0	L
13/06	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-1	8	2	D
31/05	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-2	6	2	L
23/05	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	3-0	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Djurgardens (W) vs FC Rosengård (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Djurgardens (W) win (46%). Probabilities: Djurgardens (W) 46%, draw 25%, FC Rosengård (W) 29%.

How many goals are expected in Djurgardens (W) vs FC Rosengård (W)?

The model expects 3.02 goals (Djurgardens (W) 1.71 · FC Rosengård (W) 1.32), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Djurgardens (W) vs FC Rosengård (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.