Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 05/09, 14:00

Prediction: Kristianstads (W) vs Brommapojkarna (W)

Team pages: Kristianstads (W) · Brommapojkarna (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.39Total

Kristianstads (W)2.22

Brommapojkarna (W)1.17

1X2

60% 22% 18%

Kristianstads (W) Draw Brommapojkarna (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Kristianstads (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLDWLWLWDW

Brommapojkarna (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLLWLLDD

Head-to-head

Kristianstads (W) 3–2–1 Brommapojkarna (W) (6 last)

Brommapojkarna (W)3-2Kristianstads (W)
Brommapojkarna (W)1-2Kristianstads (W)
Kristianstads (W)2-2Brommapojkarna (W)
Kristianstads (W)2-0Brommapojkarna (W)
Brommapojkarna (W)1-3Kristianstads (W)
Brommapojkarna (W)0-0Kristianstads (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kristianstads (W) 1546 · Brommapojkarna (W) 1499

	Kristianstads (W)	Draw	Brommapojkarna (W)
Our model	60%	22%	18%
Market	60%	22%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.39 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kristianstads (W) (rating 1546 vs 1499).
H2H favours Kristianstads (W): 3-2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kristianstads (W)	Brommapojkarna (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.5	1.5 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.9	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.3	1.5 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.1 / 0	1.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.10

25.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Pinn 1.65 ★
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:34 +15’	1.50	4.10	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:47 +2’	1.65	3.89	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kristianstads (W) 3–2–1 Brommapojkarna (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Brommapojkarna (W)	3-2 HT 3-1	Kristianstads (W)
20/09/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Brommapojkarna (W)	1-2 HT 1-2	Kristianstads (W)
14/06/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Kristianstads (W)	2-2 HT 1-1	Brommapojkarna (W)
28/09/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Kristianstads (W)	2-0 HT 0-0	Brommapojkarna (W)
25/05/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Brommapojkarna (W)	1-3 HT 1-0	Kristianstads (W)
01/10/23 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Brommapojkarna (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Kristianstads (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Hacken (W)	16	15	0	1	47	12	45
2	Hammarby (W)	16	13	2	1	40	8	41
3	Malmo FF (W)	16	8	5	3	33	10	29
4	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	16	8	2	6	17	17	26
5	Kristianstads (W)	16	7	4	5	28	25	25
6	AIK (W)	16	7	3	6	22	25	24
7	Vittsjö GIK (W)	16	6	4	6	17	19	22
8	Pitea IF (W)	16	5	4	7	19	25	19
9	Djurgardens (W)	16	5	3	8	21	26	18
10	Vaxjo (W)	16	5	2	9	21	30	17
11	Brommapojkarna (W)	16	5	2	9	20	33	17
12	IFK Norrkoping (W)	16	2	7	7	15	24	13
13	FC Rosengård (W)	16	2	5	9	17	23	11
14	IK Uppsala (W)	16	1	3	12	13	53	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kristianstads (W)	Brommapojkarna (W)
AIK (W)	1-0 W	0-1 L
FC Rosengård (W)	1-1 D	2-1 W
IK Uppsala (W)	3-2 W	4-2 W
Vittsjö GIK (W)	1-1 D	1-2 L
BK Hacken (W)	0-3 L	0-6 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Kristianstads (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kristianstads (W)

LLDWLWLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
22/08	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	1-1	6	0	D
16/08	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	5-0	4	0	W
08/08	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	7	0	L
01/08	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	3-0	3-0	3	4	W
27/06	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-3	0-6	6	1	L
18/06	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-1	3-2	8	0	W
12/06	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-1	8	2	D
31/05	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-3	3	3	L
23/05	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	5	0	L

Brommapojkarna (W)

WWWLLWLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-1	6	0	D
22/08	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	2-2	4	1	D
15/08	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-6	0	1	L
07/08	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
01/08	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
24/06	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-2	4	1	L
18/06	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-2	8	3	L
13/06	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	2-1	6	1	W
31/05	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	2-1	5	2	W
23/05	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	4-2	2	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kristianstads (W) vs Brommapojkarna (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kristianstads (W) win (60%). Probabilities: Kristianstads (W) 60%, draw 22%, Brommapojkarna (W) 18%.

How many goals are expected in Kristianstads (W) vs Brommapojkarna (W)?

The model expects 3.39 goals (Kristianstads (W) 2.22 · Brommapojkarna (W) 1.17), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Kristianstads (W) vs Brommapojkarna (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.