Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 04/10, 15:00
Prediction: Malmo FF (W) vs FC Rosengård (W)
Team pages: Malmo FF (W) · FC Rosengård (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
Malmo FF (W)1.72
FC Rosengård (W)0.8
1X2
Malmo FF (W)
Draw
FC Rosengård (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Malmo FF (W)
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
FC Rosengård (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Malmo FF (W)
3–1–0
FC Rosengård (W)
(4 last)
- FC Rosengård (W)0-1Malmo FF (W)
- Malmo FF (W)2-1FC Rosengård (W)
- FC Rosengård (W)0-1Malmo FF (W)
- Malmo FF (W)1-1FC Rosengård (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Malmo FF (W) 1604 · FC Rosengård (W) 1510
| Malmo FF (W) | Draw | FC Rosengård (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 26% | 16% |
| Market | 60% | 22% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Malmo FF (W) (rating 1604 vs 1510).
- H2H favours Malmo FF (W): 3-1-0.
- High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Malmo FF (W) | FC Rosengård (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.6 | 2.5 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.2 / 0 | 1.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Malmo FF (W) 3–1–0 FC Rosengård (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan | FC Rosengård (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Malmo FF (W) |
| 04/10/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan | Malmo FF (W) | 2-1 HT 2-0 | FC Rosengård (W) |
| 08/08/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan | FC Rosengård (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Malmo FF (W) |
| 08/03/25 Sweden Cup Women | Malmo FF (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | FC Rosengård (W) |
Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BK Hacken (W) | 20 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 61 | 13 | 55 |
| 2 | Hammarby (W) | 20 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 49 | 10 | 50 |
| 3 | Malmo FF (W) | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 14 | 36 |
| 4 | AIK (W) | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 34 |
| 5 | Kristianstads (W) | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 32 |
| 6 | Vittsjö GIK (W) | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 32 |
| 7 | Brommapojkarna (W) | 20 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 34 | 29 |
| 8 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 27 | 27 |
| 9 | Pitea IF (W) | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 24 |
| 10 | Djurgardens (W) | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 33 | 21 |
| 11 | FC Rosengård (W) | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 25 | 20 |
| 12 | Vaxjo (W) | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 23 | 42 | 18 |
| 13 | IFK Norrkoping (W) | 21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 17 |
| 14 | IK Uppsala (W) | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 64 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Malmo FF (W) | FC Rosengård (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Djurgardens (W) | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Eskilstuna Utd (W) | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| BK Hacken (W) | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Vaxjo (W) | 4-0 W | 0-2 L |
| IK Uppsala (W) | 6-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Pitea IF (W) | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Vittsjö GIK (W) | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Kristianstads (W) | 6-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Malmo FF (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Malmo FF (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 18/09 | Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 12/09 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 29/08 | Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 21/08 | Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 15/08 | IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
5-0 | 6-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 31/07 | Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 27/07 | Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
3-0 | 6-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
FC Rosengård (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 05/09 | Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 29/08 | BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 15/08 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 1 | L |
| 07/08 | Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 03/08 | Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 24/06 | Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Malmo FF (W) vs FC Rosengård (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Malmo FF (W) win (59%). Probabilities: Malmo FF (W) 59%, draw 24%, FC Rosengård (W) 17%.
How many goals are expected in Malmo FF (W) vs FC Rosengård (W)?
The model expects 2.52 goals (Malmo FF (W) 1.72 · FC Rosengård (W) 0.8), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Malmo FF (W) vs FC Rosengård (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.