Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 04/10, 15:00

Prediction: Hammarby (W) vs Brommapojkarna (W)

Team pages: Hammarby (W) · Brommapojkarna (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.6Total

Hammarby (W)2.79

Brommapojkarna (W)0.81

1X2

78% 14% 8%

Hammarby (W) Draw Brommapojkarna (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Hammarby (W) 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWDWWWLW

Brommapojkarna (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWLLDDWWWW

Head-to-head

Hammarby (W) 6–0 Brommapojkarna (W) (6 last)

Brommapojkarna (W)0-3Hammarby (W)
Hammarby (W)6-0Brommapojkarna (W)
Brommapojkarna (W)1-4Hammarby (W)
Hammarby (W)3-1Brommapojkarna (W)
Brommapojkarna (W)0-5Hammarby (W)
Hammarby (W)2-1Brommapojkarna (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hammarby (W) 1629 · Brommapojkarna (W) 1520

	Hammarby (W)	Draw	Brommapojkarna (W)
Our model	78%	15%	8%
Market	79%	13%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 3.6 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hammarby (W) (rating 1629 vs 1520).
H2H favours Hammarby (W): 6-0-0.
High corners: 12.9 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hammarby (W)	Brommapojkarna (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 0.5	1.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 8.1	2.2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.1 / 0	1.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.17

X7.00

211.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)2.00

2 (+2.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.17 → 1.17	Bet365 1.17
X	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
2	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
20:10 +6’	1.17	7.00	11.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hammarby (W) 6–0–0 Brommapojkarna (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Brommapojkarna (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	Hammarby (W)
16/11/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Hammarby (W)	6-0 HT 2-0	Brommapojkarna (W)
19/04/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Brommapojkarna (W)	1-4 HT 0-1	Hammarby (W)
02/03/25 Sweden Cup Women	Hammarby (W)	3-1 HT 2-1	Brommapojkarna (W)
13/09/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Brommapojkarna (W)	0-5 HT 0-3	Hammarby (W)
21/04/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Hammarby (W)	2-1 HT 2-0	Brommapojkarna (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Hacken (W)	20	18	1	1	61	13	55
2	Hammarby (W)	20	16	2	2	49	10	50
3	Malmo FF (W)	20	10	6	4	39	14	36
4	AIK (W)	20	10	4	6	29	27	34
5	Kristianstads (W)	20	8	5	7	33	32	29
6	Vittsjö GIK (W)	20	8	5	7	27	26	29
7	Brommapojkarna (W)	20	9	2	9	28	34	29
8	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	20	8	3	9	18	25	27
9	Pitea IF (W)	20	6	5	9	23	29	23
10	Djurgardens (W)	20	6	3	11	25	33	21
11	FC Rosengård (W)	20	5	5	10	21	25	20
12	Vaxjo (W)	20	5	3	12	23	40	18
13	IFK Norrkoping (W)	20	3	7	10	17	35	16
14	IK Uppsala (W)	20	1	3	16	14	64	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hammarby (W)	Brommapojkarna (W)
AIK (W)	1-2 L	0-1 L
Vaxjo (W)	3-0 W	1-2 L
IFK Norrkoping (W)	2-0 W	2-0 W
Malmo FF (W)	1-1 D	3-1 W
Pitea IF (W)	5-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Hammarby (W) (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hammarby (W)

DWWWDWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	3-0	12	2	W
19/09	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	1-2	2	3	L
13/09	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	3-0	7	1	W
05/09	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	2-0	14	2	W
29/08	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	3-1	8	1	W
21/08	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-1	4	1	D
16/08	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	4-0	5-0	7	0	W
31/07	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	3-0	5-0	14	0	W
25/07	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	3-0	4-0	8	1	W
25/06	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-1	5	0	D

Brommapojkarna (W)

LWLLDDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	3-1	1	1	W
19/09	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	9	3	W
12/09	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-0	7	2	W
05/09	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	2-0	9	0	W
30/08	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-1	6	0	D
22/08	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	2-2	4	1	D
15/08	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-6	0	1	L
07/08	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
01/08	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
24/06	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-2	4	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hammarby (W) vs Brommapojkarna (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hammarby (W) win (78%). Probabilities: Hammarby (W) 78%, draw 14%, Brommapojkarna (W) 8%.

How many goals are expected in Hammarby (W) vs Brommapojkarna (W)?

The model expects 3.6 goals (Hammarby (W) 2.79 · Brommapojkarna (W) 0.81), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hammarby (W) vs Brommapojkarna (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.