Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 03/10, 15:00

Prediction: Vaxjo (W) vs Kristianstads (W)

Team pages: Vaxjo (W) · Kristianstads (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

Vaxjo (W)1.46

Kristianstads (W)1.7

1X2

32% 26% 43%

Vaxjo (W) Draw Kristianstads (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Vaxjo (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLWLWLLLDL

Kristianstads (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWDWLWDL

Head-to-head

Vaxjo (W) 0–1–5 Kristianstads (W) (6 last)

Vaxjo (W)0-4Kristianstads (W)
Kristianstads (W)1-0Vaxjo (W)
Kristianstads (W)2-1Vaxjo (W)
Vaxjo (W)2-3Kristianstads (W)
Kristianstads (W)3-3Vaxjo (W)
Vaxjo (W)0-2Kristianstads (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kristianstads (W) (rating 1450 vs 1542).
H2H favours Kristianstads (W): 5-1-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vaxjo (W)	Kristianstads (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.3	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.6	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/0/80%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.1	2.6 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.5 / 0	0.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.81

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:28

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.21 → 4.21	Pinn 4.21
X	3.74 → 3.74	Pinn 3.74
2	1.70 → 1.70	Pinn 1.70

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:15 +13’	4.21	3.74	1.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vaxjo (W) 0–1–5 Kristianstads (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 Women’s Friendly	Vaxjo (W)	0-4 HT 0-1	Kristianstads (W)
25/04/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Kristianstads (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Vaxjo (W)
13/09/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Kristianstads (W)	2-1 HT 0-0	Vaxjo (W)
03/05/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Vaxjo (W)	2-3 HT 2-1	Kristianstads (W)
12/10/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Kristianstads (W)	3-3 HT 1-0	Vaxjo (W)
20/05/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Vaxjo (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Kristianstads (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Hacken (W)	20	18	1	1	61	13	55
2	Hammarby (W)	20	16	2	2	49	10	50
3	Malmo FF (W)	20	10	6	4	39	14	36
4	AIK (W)	20	10	4	6	29	27	34
5	Kristianstads (W)	20	8	5	7	33	32	29
6	Vittsjö GIK (W)	20	8	5	7	27	26	29
7	Brommapojkarna (W)	20	9	2	9	28	34	29
8	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	20	8	3	9	18	25	27
9	Pitea IF (W)	20	6	5	9	23	29	23
10	Djurgardens (W)	20	6	3	11	25	33	21
11	FC Rosengård (W)	20	5	5	10	21	25	20
12	Vaxjo (W)	20	5	3	12	23	40	18
13	IFK Norrkoping (W)	20	3	7	10	17	35	16
14	IK Uppsala (W)	20	1	3	16	14	64	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vaxjo (W)	Kristianstads (W)
AIK (W)	0-3 L	1-0 W
Vittsjö GIK (W)	2-2 D	1-3 L
Pitea IF (W)	0-2 L	2-2 D
Malmo FF (W)	0-4 L	0-6 L
Eskilstuna Utd (W)	1-0 W	0-1 L
Djurgardens (W)	2-3 L	2-0 W
FC Rosengård (W)	2-0 W	1-1 D
Brommapojkarna (W)	2-1 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Vaxjo (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vaxjo (W)

WLWLWLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-3	0-3	0	3	L
19/09	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	2-2	7	2	D
13/09	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-3	2	1	L
05/09	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-2	2	2	L
29/08	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-4	12	1	L
22/08	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
14/08	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	2-3	6	2	L
07/08	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-0	7	1	W
31/07	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-3	0-5	1	0	L
24/06	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	2-1	2	1	W

Kristianstads (W)

LWLWDWLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-3	7	3	L
20/09	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	2-2	6	0	D
13/09	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	2-0	3	0	W
05/09	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-2	2	0	L
29/08	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
22/08	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	1-1	6	0	D
16/08	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	5-0	4	0	W
08/08	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	7	0	L
01/08	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	3-0	3-0	3	4	W
27/06	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-3	0-6	6	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vaxjo (W) vs Kristianstads (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kristianstads (W) win (43%). Probabilities: Vaxjo (W) 32%, draw 26%, Kristianstads (W) 43%.

How many goals are expected in Vaxjo (W) vs Kristianstads (W)?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Vaxjo (W) 1.46 · Kristianstads (W) 1.7), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Vaxjo (W) vs Kristianstads (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.